Fenerbahce Istanbul — Konyaspor: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.3% |
| 12 | 84.3% | |
| X2 | 23.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.7% / 16.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.6% / 37.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.4% / 59.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.5% / 77.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.9% / 89.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Fenerbahce Istanbul
14th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Genclerbirligi 1:2
- 17.05.2026 home Eyupspor 3:3
- 09.05.2026 away Konyaspor 3:0
- 02.05.2026 home Buyuksehyr 3:1
- 26.04.2026 away Galatasaray 0:3
Konyaspor
15th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Rizespor 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:3
- 01.05.2026 away Rizespor 2:3
- 27.04.2026 home Trabzonspor 2:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.05.2026 Konyaspor 0:3 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 15.12.2025 Fenerbahce Istanbul 4:0 Konyaspor
- 31.05.2025 Fenerbahce Istanbul 2:1 Konyaspor
- 13.01.2025 Konyaspor 2:3 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 06.05.2024 Konyaspor 0:0 Fenerbahce Istanbul
- 10.01.2024 Fenerbahce Istanbul 7:1 Konyaspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Fenerbahce Istanbul go into this Super Lig fixture as the clearly stronger side against Konyaspor. The available assessment gives the hosts a high level of confidence, with the main outcome signal favouring a home win. That points to Fenerbahce Istanbul having the stronger overall position before kickoff, although the match still needs to be settled on the pitch.
The scoring outlook is high-scoring, with possible scorelines including 2:0, 3:0 and 2:1. This suggests that Fenerbahce Istanbul may create enough attacking pressure to produce multiple goals, while Konyaspor remain capable of making the contest less straightforward. Whether both teams score is considered evenly balanced, so that aspect is less clear than the expected advantage for the hosts. The match is scheduled for 22 August 2026 at 18:30 UTC.
What matters before kick-off
Opening Matchday Results
Both teams started the new Süper Lig season with defeats: Fenerbahce lost 2-1 away to Gençlerbirliği, while Konyaspor suffered a 0-1 home loss against Rizespor.
Fenerbahce's Busy Schedule
Just four days before hosting Konyaspor, Fenerbahce played out a 1-1 home draw against Lyon in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League play-off tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.