Caykur Rizespor — Samsunspor: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.5% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.8% / 23.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Caykur Rizespor
5th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Konyaspor 1:0
- 15.05.2026 home Besiktas 2:2
- 09.05.2026 away Eyupspor 0:4
- 01.05.2026 home Konyaspor 3:2
- 25.04.2026 away Kayserispor 0:2
Samsunspor
7th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 17.08.2026 home Goztep 3:3
- 16.05.2026 home Goztep 3:0
- 09.05.2026 away Buyuksehyr 0:3
- 02.05.2026 home Galatasaray 4:1
- 27.04.2026 away Alanyaspor 3:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.04.2026 Caykur Rizespor 4:1 Samsunspor
- 27.10.2025 Samsunspor 1:1 Caykur Rizespor
- 22.02.2025 Samsunspor 2:3 Caykur Rizespor
- 22.09.2024 Caykur Rizespor 0:1 Samsunspor
- 23.02.2024 Samsunspor 3:0 Caykur Rizespor
- 08.10.2023 Caykur Rizespor 1:0 Samsunspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Caykur Rizespor have a slight edge over Samsunspor in this Super Lig meeting, with the overall assessment pointing towards the hosts avoiding defeat. The confidence in that lean is high, although the expected balance of the match does not suggest a one-sided contest. A home win or draw appears to be the most supported outcome.
The game is projected to produce a moderate number of goals, while the prospect of both teams scoring remains evenly balanced. That makes several scorelines plausible, including 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1. Caykur Rizespor’s advantage is therefore narrow rather than decisive, and Samsunspor remain capable of making the match competitive.
What matters before kick-off
Opening matchday results
Caykur Rizespor started the 2026-27 Super Lig season with a 1-0 away victory over Konyaspor courtesy of a late Qazim Laci goal, while Samsunspor opened their campaign with a 3-3 home draw against Goztepe.
Rizespor home record
Caykur Rizespor entered the match unbeaten in their previous six home Super Lig encounters, recording five victories and one draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.