Match intelligence

Eyupspor — Gaziantep FK: Win probabilities, 23.08.2026

League: Super Lig (Turkey) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Eyupspor0
:
1Gaziantep FK
Locked signal X2 Probability 66.9% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 33.1% Home win Eyupspor
X 27.8% Draw
W2 39.1% Away win Gaziantep FK
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.2%
Both teams to score
Yes58.0%
Totals 2.5
Over53.1%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X60.9%
1272.2%
X266.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No58.0% / 42.0%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.6% / 7.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 78.2% / 21.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 53.1% / 46.9%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.8% / 69.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 15.3% / 84.7%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.5% / 93.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Eyupspor × Gaziantep FK
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.4%
0:1 7.6%
0:2 6.5%
0:3 3.2%
0:4 1.2%
0:5 0.3%
1
1:0 6.8%
1:1 13.2%
1:2 8.7%
1:3 4.3%
1:4 1.6%
1:5 0.5%
2
2:0 5.4%
2:1 7.9%
2:2 5.8%
2:3 2.8%
2:4 1.0%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 2.4%
3:1 3.5%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 1.3%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 1.2%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.2%
1:28.7%
2:17.9%
0:17.6%
0:07.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 23.08.2026

Eyupspor

15th place · 0 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 16.08.2026 away Besiktas 0:1
  • 17.05.2026 away Fenerbahce 3:3
  • 09.05.2026 home Rizespor 4:0
  • 03.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:1
  • 25.04.2026 home Gaziantep 3:0

Gaziantep FK

11th place · 1 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 15.08.2026 home Alanyaspor 1:1
  • 16.05.2026 home Buyuksehyr 1:2
  • 09.05.2026 away Goztep 1:2
  • 01.05.2026 home Besiktas 0:2
  • 25.04.2026 away Eyupspor 0:3

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

Eyupspor wins3
Draws0
Gaziantep FK wins1
Goals per match3.75
Both teams scored3/4
Over 2.5 goals4/4
  • 25.04.2026 Eyupspor 3:0 Gaziantep FK
  • 29.11.2025 Gaziantep FK 1:2 Eyupspor
  • 03.03.2025 Gaziantep FK 3:1 Eyupspor
  • 29.09.2024 Eyupspor 3:2 Gaziantep FK

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Eyupspor and Gaziantep FK meet in the Super Lig on 23 August 2026, with the match scheduled for 16:00 UTC. The available assessment points to an evenly matched contest, with neither side holding a clearly defined advantage. Confidence in the overall reading is moderate, so the game may be decided by small details rather than a sustained difference in quality.

A medium-scoring match is expected, and both teams are likely to score. That profile suggests an open enough encounter without indicating an especially high-scoring affair. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1, reflecting the balance between the teams and the possibility of a narrow result in either direction. A draw or a result favouring Gaziantep FK fits the available market signal, but Eyupspor remain capable of making the contest competitive at home.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Opening round results

In the Süper Lig opening round, Eyüpspor suffered a 1-0 away loss to Beşiktaş, while Gaziantep FK drew 1-1 at home against Alanyaspor.

Availability

Eyüpspor suspension

Eyüpspor player David Costa is suspended for the match against Gaziantep FK after receiving a red card in the opening game against Beşiktaş.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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