Corum FK — Kasimpasa Istanbul: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.6% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.5% / 25.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.1% / 86.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Corum FK meet Kasimpasa Istanbul in a Super Lig fixture where the hosts hold a slight edge. The assessment points toward the protected home result, with the 1X signal suggesting that Corum FK are more likely to avoid defeat than Kasimpasa Istanbul. Confidence in that overall direction is high, although the difference between the teams is not large enough to imply a one-sided contest.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, so the match could develop through a measured balance between caution and attacking intent. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, with that aspect viewed as evenly poised. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1, which reflects a competitive game where Corum FK have the stronger position but Kasimpasa Istanbul retain a realistic route to a positive result.
What matters before kick-off
Corum FK's Kyziridis suspended
Corum FK winger Alexandros Kyziridis is suspended for the match against Kasimpasa after receiving a red card in the opening round.
Corum FK home fixture behind closed doors
Corum FK will play their first-ever Super Lig home match behind closed doors due to a stadium ban imposed last season.
Recent round 1 results for both clubs
In the opening round, Corum FK drew 2-2 away against Galatasaray, while Kasimpasa drew 1-1 at home against Trabzonspor.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.