Trabzonspor — Genclerbirligi SK: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.2% |
| 12 | 81.9% | |
| X2 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.7% / 37.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.5% / 59.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.6% / 77.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.9% / 89.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Trabzonspor
11th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 away Amedspor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Buyuksehyr 2:1
- 15.08.2026 away Kasimpasa 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Genclerbirligi 0:3
- 09.05.2026 away Besiktas 2:1
Genclerbirligi SK
3rd place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 home Erzurumspor 1:1
- 23.08.2026 away Goztep 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Fenerbahce 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Trabzonspor 3:0
- 09.05.2026 home Kasimpasa 3:2
This season: Trabzonspor at home vs Genclerbirligi SK away
| Metric | Trabzonspor · at home | Genclerbirligi SK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.27 | 1.56 |
| xG against per match | 1.95 | 1.92 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 Trabzonspor 0:3 Genclerbirligi SK
- 22.12.2025 Genclerbirligi SK 4:3 Trabzonspor
- 15.05.2021 Trabzonspor 2:1 Genclerbirligi SK
- 23.01.2021 Genclerbirligi SK 1:2 Trabzonspor
- 08.02.2020 Genclerbirligi SK 0:2 Trabzonspor
- 15.09.2019 Trabzonspor 2:2 Genclerbirligi SK
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Trabzonspor come into this Super Lig fixture with a clear overall advantage over Genclerbirligi SK, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the hosts’ superiority should be viewed with some caution. The available assessment points toward a high-scoring match, making Trabzonspor’s attacking strength the central factor in the preview.
Genclerbirligi SK may still pose a threat, but the outlook gives them less support in the result market. The possibility of both teams scoring remains finely balanced, so the match could develop in more than one direction despite the hosts being favoured. The most plausible scorelines are 2:0, 2:1 and 1:0, which reflect a range from a controlled Trabzonspor victory to a closer contest. Overall, Trabzonspor are the stronger side on the available information, while Genclerbirligi SK will need to keep the game compact and make the most of their opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Managerial transition at Trabzonspor
Following the departure of head coach Fatih Tekke, Hüseyin Çimşir was appointed to temporarily lead Trabzonspor for their match against Gençlerbirliği.
Player availability and injuries
Trabzonspor will be missing Okay Yokuşlu, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Arseniy Batagov, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, and Noah Saviolo through injury. Gençlerbirliği are without the injured Cheick Niasse, Dilhan Demir, and Kevin Rodrigues.
Super Lig head-to-head record
This match marks the 75th Süper Lig encounter between Trabzonspor and Gençlerbirliği, with Trabzonspor recording 41 victories compared to 14 for Gençlerbirliği in their previous 74 meetings.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.