Trabzonspor — Genclerbirligi SK: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.2% |
| 12 | 81.9% | |
| X2 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.9% / 4.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.7% / 37.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.5% / 59.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.6% / 77.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.9% / 89.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Trabzonspor come into this Super Lig fixture with a clear overall advantage over Genclerbirligi SK, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the hosts’ superiority should be viewed with some caution. The available assessment points toward a high-scoring match, making Trabzonspor’s attacking strength the central factor in the preview.
Genclerbirligi SK may still pose a threat, but the outlook gives them less support in the result market. The possibility of both teams scoring remains finely balanced, so the match could develop in more than one direction despite the hosts being favoured. The most plausible scorelines are 2:0, 2:1 and 1:0, which reflect a range from a controlled Trabzonspor victory to a closer contest. Overall, Trabzonspor are the stronger side on the available information, while Genclerbirligi SK will need to keep the game compact and make the most of their opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Managerial transition at Trabzonspor
Following the departure of head coach Fatih Tekke, Hüseyin Çimşir was appointed to temporarily lead Trabzonspor for their match against Gençlerbirliği.
Player availability and injuries
Trabzonspor will be missing Okay Yokuşlu, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Arseniy Batagov, Tim Jabol-Folcarelli, and Noah Saviolo through injury. Gençlerbirliği are without the injured Cheick Niasse, Dilhan Demir, and Kevin Rodrigues.
Super Lig head-to-head record
This match marks the 75th Süper Lig encounter between Trabzonspor and Gençlerbirliği, with Trabzonspor recording 41 victories compared to 14 for Gençlerbirliği in their previous 74 meetings.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.