Kasimpasa Istanbul — Amed Sportif Faaliyetler: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.5% |
| 12 | 71.5% | |
| X2 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.2% / 8.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.6% / 27.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 46.2% / 53.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.8% / 75.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.2% / 88.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.4% / 95.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Kasimpasa Istanbul
8th place · 5 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Buyuksehyr 1:1
- 22.08.2026 away Corum 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Galatasaray 1:0
- 09.05.2026 away Genclerbirligi 2:3
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler
5th place · 6 pts after 3Last 3 matches · latest first
- 31.08.2026 home Trabzonspor 2:1
- 24.08.2026 away Kocaelispor 0:2
- 16.08.2026 home Erzurumspor 3:0
This season: Kasimpasa Istanbul at home vs Amed Sportif Faaliyetler away
| Metric | Kasimpasa Istanbul · at home | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.86 | 0.59 |
| xG against per match | 0.86 | 1.30 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Kasimpasa Istanbul face Amed Sportif Faaliyetler in a Super Lig fixture that looks finely balanced. The available assessment points to an evenly matched contest, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. There is a moderate level of confidence in that reading, so the match may be shaped by small details rather than a strong difference in quality.
A medium-scoring game appears the most plausible general profile. Both teams scoring is considered an open question, with no clear indication that this aspect will define the match. The market signal gives Kasimpasa Istanbul protection against defeat, but the broader outlook remains cautious rather than decisive. A draw is a credible possibility, while either team could edge the game if it makes better use of its opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Yira Sor ruled out with injury for Amedspor
Amedspor winger Yira Sor suffered a hamstring injury during their recent match against Trabzonspor and is expected to miss around six weeks.
Amedspor's recent win over Trabzonspor
In their most recent Super Lig fixture on August 31, 2026, Amedspor secured a 2-1 comeback victory over Trabzonspor thanks to a 90th-minute winner from Gift Orban.
First-ever Super Lig meeting between the clubs
The gameweek-four fixture marks the first historic Super Lig meeting between Kasimpasa and Amedspor following Amedspor's promotion to the top flight.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.