Caykur Rizespor — Alanyaspor: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.1% |
| 12 | 73.1% | |
| X2 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.7% / 24.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.6% / 72.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.0% / 87.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.09.2026
Caykur Rizespor
9th place · 6 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Gaziantep 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Samsunspor 0:2
- 15.08.2026 away Konyaspor 1:0
- 15.05.2026 home Besiktas 2:2
- 09.05.2026 away Eyupspor 0:4
Alanyaspor
12th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Eyupspor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Besiktas 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Gaziantep 1:1
- 16.05.2026 away Karagumruk 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Kayserispor 3:1
This season: Caykur Rizespor at home vs Alanyaspor away
| Metric | Caykur Rizespor · at home | Alanyaspor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.85 | 0.96 |
| xG against per match | 0.32 | 1.38 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.01.2026 Caykur Rizespor 1:1 Alanyaspor
- 16.08.2025 Alanyaspor 0:0 Caykur Rizespor
- 02.03.2025 Caykur Rizespor 3:1 Alanyaspor
- 28.09.2024 Alanyaspor 1:0 Caykur Rizespor
- 20.01.2024 Alanyaspor 2:1 Caykur Rizespor
- 19.08.2023 Caykur Rizespor 0:0 Alanyaspor
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Caykur Rizespor meet Alanyaspor in the Super Lig on 7 September 2026, with the hosts holding a slight but credible edge. The assessment points toward a match in which home advantage may be important, although the gap between the teams is not large enough to remove the prospect of a draw. The market signal also favours protecting against an away win, which fits the overall view of Caykur Rizespor as the stronger side on this occasion.
The expected pattern is medium-scoring rather than an open goal fest. Both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the match could develop through a controlled first phase before the balance becomes clearer. The most likely scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:0, reflecting a contest where Caykur Rizespor have the better path to victory but Alanyaspor remain capable of securing a result. A narrow home win or a draw therefore appears more consistent with the available assessment than a decisive away success.
What matters before kick-off
Süper Lig matchday 4 fixture
Çaykur Rizespor host Alanyaspor at Çaykur Didi Stadium in matchday 4 of the Turkish Süper Lig.
Recent league results
In their previous fixtures, Çaykur Rizespor secured a 2-1 away victory against Gaziantep, while Alanyaspor suffered a 2-1 loss on the road to Eyüpspor.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.