Match intelligence

Corum FK — Eyupspor: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026

League: Super Lig (Turkey) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Corum FK3
:
0Eyupspor
Locked signal W1 Probability 57.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 57.6% Home win Corum FK
X 24.4% Draw
W2 18.0% Away win Eyupspor
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X82.0%
Both teams to score
Yes52.5%
Totals 2.5
Over53.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X82.0%
1275.6%
X242.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No52.5% / 47.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.9% / 7.1%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 77.8% / 22.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 53.0% / 47.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.7% / 69.3%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 15.2% / 84.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.5% / 93.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Corum FK × Eyupspor
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.1%
0:1 4.8%
0:2 2.7%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 10.3%
1:1 11.6%
1:2 5.1%
1:3 1.6%
1:4 0.4%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.4%
2:1 9.9%
2:2 4.7%
2:3 1.5%
2:4 0.3%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 6.4%
3:1 6.1%
3:2 2.9%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 3.0%
4:1 2.8%
4:2 1.3%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.1%
5:1 1.0%
5:2 0.5%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.6%
2:010.4%
1:010.3%
2:19.9%
0:07.1%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026

Corum FK

17th place · 1 pts after 3

Last 3 matches · latest first

  • 31.08.2026 away Besiktas 2:6
  • 22.08.2026 home Kasimpasa 0:1
  • 14.08.2026 away Galatasaray 2:2

Eyupspor

15th place · 3 pts after 3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 30.08.2026 home Alanyaspor 2:1
  • 23.08.2026 home Gaziantep 0:1
  • 16.08.2026 away Besiktas 0:1
  • 17.05.2026 away Fenerbahce 3:3
  • 09.05.2026 home Rizespor 4:0

This season: Corum FK at home vs Eyupspor away

Metric Corum FK · at home Eyupspor · away
Matches11
W–D–L0–0–10–0–1
Goals scored per match0.000.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.00
xG for per match1.100.09
xG against per match0.311.29
Shots on target per match2.001.00
Corners per match7.002.00
Over 2.5 goals0%0%
Both teams scored0%0%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Corum FK have a slight edge over Eyupspor in this Super Lig meeting, although the low confidence level points to a closely balanced contest rather than a clear home advantage. The available assessment suggests a medium-scoring match, with enough attacking potential on both sides to create a competitive rhythm. Corum FK may be marginally better placed to control the outcome, but Eyupspor remain capable of making the game difficult and limiting the hosts’ opportunities.

The prospect of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could develop in more than one direction. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 2:0 and 1:0, reflecting the narrow gap between a draw and a disciplined home win. Corum FK will need to turn their slight advantage into sustained pressure, while Eyupspor’s defensive organisation and response to the home side’s early attacks could be decisive. Overall, this looks like a match where small moments are likely to shape the result.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Eyüpspor's previous match result

In matchweek three of the Süper Lig, Eyüpspor secured a 2-1 home victory over Alanyaspor thanks to a 94th-minute goal from Zak Jules.

Schedule

Çorum FK's previous league result

In their prior Süper Lig fixture, Çorum FK suffered a 6-2 defeat away to Beşiktaş.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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