Corum FK — Eyupspor: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.0% |
| 12 | 75.6% | |
| X2 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.8% / 22.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.7% / 69.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Corum FK have a slight edge over Eyupspor in this Super Lig meeting, although the low confidence level points to a closely balanced contest rather than a clear home advantage. The available assessment suggests a medium-scoring match, with enough attacking potential on both sides to create a competitive rhythm. Corum FK may be marginally better placed to control the outcome, but Eyupspor remain capable of making the game difficult and limiting the hosts’ opportunities.
The prospect of both teams scoring is finely balanced, so the match could develop in more than one direction. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 2:0 and 1:0, reflecting the narrow gap between a draw and a disciplined home win. Corum FK will need to turn their slight advantage into sustained pressure, while Eyupspor’s defensive organisation and response to the home side’s early attacks could be decisive. Overall, this looks like a match where small moments are likely to shape the result.
What matters before kick-off
Eyüpspor's previous match result
In matchweek three of the Süper Lig, Eyüpspor secured a 2-1 home victory over Alanyaspor thanks to a 94th-minute goal from Zak Jules.
Çorum FK's previous league result
In their prior Süper Lig fixture, Çorum FK suffered a 6-2 defeat away to Beşiktaş.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.