Erzurumspor FK — Konyaspor: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.2% |
| 12 | 72.1% | |
| X2 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.6% / 51.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.7% / 9.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 42.8% / 57.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 21.9% / 78.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 9.5% / 90.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 3.5% / 96.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Erzurumspor FK
17th place · 1 pts after 3Last 3 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 away Genclerbirligi 1:1
- 21.08.2026 home Galatasaray 0:4
- 16.08.2026 away Amedspor 0:3
Konyaspor
18th place · 0 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Fenerbahce 2:4
- 15.08.2026 home Rizespor 0:1
- 17.05.2026 away Kayserispor 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Fenerbahce 0:3
This season: Erzurumspor FK at home vs Konyaspor away
| Metric | Erzurumspor FK · at home | Konyaspor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.48 | 2.15 |
| xG against per match | 3.08 | 2.36 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Erzurumspor FK and Konyaspor meet in the Super Lig in a contest that looks evenly matched. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, so the result may depend on which team manages the key phases of the game more effectively. Erzurumspor FK should look to make the most of home conditions, while Konyaspor will aim to remain compact and create opportunities without allowing the hosts to control the tempo.
The expected scoring level is moderate rather than extreme, suggesting a game with opportunities at both ends but not necessarily a sustained goal rush. Whether both teams score is difficult to separate, with the available signal treating that outcome as finely balanced. Overall, the most reasonable reading is a cautious match in which Erzurumspor FK have a slight protective edge through the home factor, but Konyaspor remain fully capable of taking points. A draw is a credible possibility, and the match may be decided by small tactical details rather than a clear difference in quality.
What matters before kick-off
Return to Süper Lig
Erzurumspor FK returned to Turkey's top flight for the 2026–27 season following a five-year absence.
Erzurumspor FK recent result
In their previous Süper Lig fixture on August 28, 2026, Erzurumspor FK played out a 1-1 draw against Gençlerbirliği.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.