Goztepe Izmir — Gaziantep FK: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.3% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.0% / 24.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.2% / 71.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.5% / 86.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Goztepe Izmir have a slight but credible edge over Gaziantep FK in this Super Lig meeting. The assessment points towards a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with the home side marginally better placed in the outcome outlook. The 1X signal also supports a scenario in which Goztepe Izmir avoid defeat, although the balance remains close enough for a draw to be a realistic possibility.
The scoring projection suggests a medium-scoring game, with both teams scoring treated as an even possibility rather than a firm expectation. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1, which reflects the narrow difference between the sides and leaves several match patterns in play. Goztepe Izmir may have enough to make home advantage count, but Gaziantep FK remain capable of keeping the contest level or challenging for a result if they take their opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Search for first league win
Goztepe enter matchday 4 of the Super Lig against Gaziantep FK looking for their first victory of the season after failing to win their opening three league matches.
Head-to-head history
Goztepe have won their last two Super Lig matches against Gaziantep FK, while Gaziantep FK have failed to win any of their last seven official away matches against Goztepe.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.