Goztepe Izmir — Gaziantep FK: Win probabilities, 07.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.3% |
| 12 | 72.9% | |
| X2 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.0% / 24.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.2% / 71.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.5% / 86.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 07.09.2026
Goztepe Izmir
17th place · 1 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Galatasaray 2:3
- 23.08.2026 home Genclerbirligi 0:1
- 17.08.2026 away Samsunspor 3:3
- 16.05.2026 away Samsunspor 0:3
- 09.05.2026 home Gaziantep 2:1
Gaziantep FK
11th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Rizespor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 away Eyupspor 1:0
- 15.08.2026 home Alanyaspor 1:1
- 16.05.2026 home Buyuksehyr 1:2
- 09.05.2026 away Goztep 1:2
This season: Goztepe Izmir at home vs Gaziantep FK away
| Metric | Goztepe Izmir · at home | Gaziantep FK · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.92 | 1.16 |
| xG against per match | 1.56 | 0.49 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 09.05.2026 Goztepe Izmir 2:1 Gaziantep FK
- 14.12.2025 Gaziantep FK 0:1 Goztepe Izmir
- 07.04.2025 Goztepe Izmir 1:1 Gaziantep FK
- 01.11.2024 Gaziantep FK 2:1 Goztepe Izmir
- 23.04.2022 Gaziantep FK 1:1 Goztepe Izmir
- 06.12.2021 Goztepe Izmir 2:1 Gaziantep FK
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Goztepe Izmir have a slight but credible edge over Gaziantep FK in this Super Lig meeting. The assessment points towards a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with the home side marginally better placed in the outcome outlook. The 1X signal also supports a scenario in which Goztepe Izmir avoid defeat, although the balance remains close enough for a draw to be a realistic possibility.
The scoring projection suggests a medium-scoring game, with both teams scoring treated as an even possibility rather than a firm expectation. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1, which reflects the narrow difference between the sides and leaves several match patterns in play. Goztepe Izmir may have enough to make home advantage count, but Gaziantep FK remain capable of keeping the contest level or challenging for a result if they take their opportunities.
What matters before kick-off
Search for first league win
Goztepe enter matchday 4 of the Super Lig against Gaziantep FK looking for their first victory of the season after failing to win their opening three league matches.
Head-to-head history
Goztepe have won their last two Super Lig matches against Gaziantep FK, while Gaziantep FK have failed to win any of their last seven official away matches against Goztepe.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.