Trabzonspor — Besiktas Istanbul: Win probabilities, 19.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
30.1%
Home win
Trabzonspor
X
25.4%
Draw
W2
44.5%
Away win
Besiktas Istanbul
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.6%
Both teams to score
Yes65.2%
Totals 2.5
Over63.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.5% |
| 12 | 74.6% | |
| X2 | 69.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.2% / 34.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.8% / 5.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.8% / 15.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.0% / 37.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.8% / 59.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.8% / 77.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.1% / 88.9% |
Goal distribution model
Trabzonspor × Besiktas Istanbul
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.2%
0:1
5.7%
0:2
6.3%
0:3
3.7%
0:4
1.7%
0:5
0.6%
1
1:0
4.4%
1:1
11.4%
1:2
9.1%
1:3
5.4%
1:4
2.4%
1:5
0.9%
2
2:0
4.1%
2:1
7.4%
2:2
6.6%
2:3
4.0%
2:4
1.8%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
2.0%
3:1
3.6%
3:2
3.2%
3:3
1.9%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.7%
4:1
1.3%
4:2
1.2%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.4%
1:29.1%
2:17.4%
2:26.6%
0:26.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.10.2026
Trabzonspor
7th place · 10 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Galatasaray 4:0
- 12.09.2026 away Konyaspor 0:1
- 06.09.2026 home Genclerbirligi 5:0
- 31.08.2026 away Amedspor 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Buyuksehyr 2:1
Besiktas Istanbul
3rd place · 12 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Amedspor 2:3
- 11.09.2026 home Erzurumspor 3:0
- 05.09.2026 away Fenerbahce 2:1
- 31.08.2026 home Corum 6:2
- 23.08.2026 away Alanyaspor 0:1
This season: Trabzonspor at home vs Besiktas Istanbul away
| Metric | Trabzonspor · at home | Besiktas Istanbul · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 3–0–0 | 1–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.33 | 1.67 |
| xG for per match | 2.58 | 1.51 |
| xG against per match | 1.22 | 0.89 |
| Shots on target per match | 8.33 | 6.67 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Trabzonspor wins2
Draws2
Besiktas Istanbul wins2
Goals per match3.17
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 09.05.2026 Besiktas Istanbul 1:2 Trabzonspor
- 14.12.2025 Trabzonspor 3:3 Besiktas Istanbul
- 15.02.2025 Besiktas Istanbul 2:1 Trabzonspor
- 15.09.2024 Trabzonspor 1:1 Besiktas Istanbul
- 04.02.2024 Besiktas Istanbul 2:0 Trabzonspor
- 17.09.2023 Trabzonspor 3:0 Besiktas Istanbul
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.