Match intelligence

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler — Konyaspor: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026

League: Super Lig (Turkey) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 52.5% Home win Amed Sportif Faaliyetler
X 26.2% Draw
W2 21.3% Away win Konyaspor
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X78.7%
Both teams to score
Yes54.7%
Totals 2.5
Over52.8%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X78.7%
1273.8%
X247.5%
Both teams to scoreYes/No54.7% / 45.3%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.6% / 7.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 78.0% / 22.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 52.8% / 47.2%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.5% / 69.5%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 15.0% / 85.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.4% / 93.6%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler × Konyaspor
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.4%
0:1 5.2%
0:2 3.4%
0:3 1.2%
0:4 0.3%
0:5 0.1%
1
1:0 9.5%
1:1 12.5%
1:2 5.8%
1:3 2.0%
1:4 0.5%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 9.4%
2:1 9.8%
2:2 5.1%
2:3 1.8%
2:4 0.5%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 5.4%
3:1 5.7%
3:2 3.0%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 2.4%
4:1 2.5%
4:2 1.3%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.8%
5:1 0.9%
5:2 0.5%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.5%
2:19.8%
1:09.5%
2:09.4%
0:07.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler

1st place · 13 pts after 6

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 20.09.2026 home Besiktas 3:2
  • 13.09.2026 home Buyuksehyr 5:0
  • 06.09.2026 away Kasimpasa 2:2
  • 31.08.2026 home Trabzonspor 2:1
  • 24.08.2026 away Kocaelispor 0:2

Konyaspor

15th place · 4 pts after 6

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 18.09.2026 away Kasimpasa 0:0
  • 12.09.2026 home Trabzonspor 1:0
  • 05.09.2026 away Erzurumspor 0:1
  • 29.08.2026 home Kocaelispor 1:2
  • 22.08.2026 away Fenerbahce 2:4

This season: Amed Sportif Faaliyetler at home vs Konyaspor away

Metric Amed Sportif Faaliyetler · at home Konyaspor · away
Matches43
W–D–L4–0–00–1–2
Goals scored per match3.250.67
Goals conceded per match0.751.67
xG for per match2.421.58
xG against per match0.881.30
Shots on target per match6.504.33
Corners per match2.503.33
Over 2.5 goals100%33%
Both teams scored50%33%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

Odds movement

W1 was 2.12 → now 1.80
W2 was 3.30 → now 4.10
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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