Corum FK — Caykur Rizespor: Win probabilities, 16.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
48.2%
Home win
Corum FK
X
25.5%
Draw
W2
26.3%
Away win
Caykur Rizespor
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.5%
Both teams to score
Yes58.1%
Totals 2.5
Over55.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.7% |
| 12 | 74.5% | |
| X2 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.8% / 6.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.5% / 20.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.3% / 66.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.0% / 83.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
Goal distribution model
Corum FK × Caykur Rizespor
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.2%
0:1
5.8%
0:2
4.0%
0:3
1.6%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
8.5%
1:1
12.0%
1:2
6.8%
1:3
2.7%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.9%
2:1
9.5%
2:2
5.8%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.5%
3:1
5.4%
3:2
3.3%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.9%
4:1
2.3%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.7%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.0%
2:19.5%
1:08.5%
2:07.9%
1:26.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.10.2026
Corum FK
11th place · 7 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Alanyaspor 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Samsunspor 5:1
- 06.09.2026 home Eyupspor 3:0
- 31.08.2026 away Besiktas 2:6
- 22.08.2026 home Kasimpasa 0:1
Caykur Rizespor
9th place · 10 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Goztep 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Eyupspor 2:0
- 07.09.2026 home Alanyaspor 0:1
- 29.08.2026 away Gaziantep 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Samsunspor 0:2
This season: Corum FK at home vs Caykur Rizespor away
| Metric | Corum FK · at home | Caykur Rizespor · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–2 | 3–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.61 | 1.32 |
| xG against per match | 0.73 | 1.41 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.33 | 4.25 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.06 → now 1.95 |
| W2 | was 3.25 → now 3.40 |
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