Tottenham Hotspur — Everton: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.9% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.4% / 42.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.9% / 21.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.2% / 67.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.2% / 83.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.1% / 92.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Tottenham Hotspur
17th place · 1 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Nott'm Forest 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Newcastle 0:2
- 22.08.2026 away Brentford 0:3
- 24.05.2026 home Everton 1:0
- 19.05.2026 away Chelsea 1:2
Everton
8th place · 5 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Man United 2:2
- 29.08.2026 away Bournemouth 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home Crystal Palace 2:0
- 24.05.2026 away Tottenham 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Sunderland 1:3
This season: Tottenham Hotspur at home vs Everton away
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur · at home | Everton · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.04 | 1.84 |
| xG against per match | 0.75 | 2.15 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.05.2026 Tottenham Hotspur 1:0 Everton
- 26.10.2025 Everton 0:3 Tottenham Hotspur
- 19.01.2025 Everton 3:2 Tottenham Hotspur
- 24.08.2024 Tottenham Hotspur 4:0 Everton
- 03.02.2024 Everton 2:2 Tottenham Hotspur
- 23.12.2023 Tottenham Hotspur 2:1 Everton
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Tottenham Hotspur have a slight edge over Everton in this EPL meeting, although the outlook does not point to a one-sided contest. The available assessment supports the home side as the stronger of the two teams, with home protection also favoured. That suggests Tottenham Hotspur may be better placed to avoid defeat, while Everton remain capable of keeping the match competitive.
The expected pattern is medium-scoring rather than an especially open or defensive game. Whether both teams find the net is finely balanced, so the match could develop in either direction depending on how the opening phases unfold. A narrow Tottenham Hotspur win and a draw both fit the overall assessment, with 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1 among the plausible scorelines. Overall, there is a clear but limited preference for Tottenham Hotspur, with Everton still carrying enough threat to prevent the hosts from being considered dominant.
What matters before kick-off
Tottenham Injury and Availability Updates
Tottenham Hotspur midfielder James Maddison has returned to the squad following a shoulder injury, whereas Mykhailo Mudryk and Dejan Kulusevski remain unavailable due to injuries.
Dominic Solanke Makes First Premier League Start of Season
Forward Dominic Solanke was named in Tottenham Hotspur's starting lineup to make his first Premier League start of the season.
Form Entering Matchweek Four
Tottenham Hotspur entered the match searching for their first league victory of the season after a 0-0 draw against Nottingham Forest, while Everton remained unbeaten following a 2-2 draw with Manchester United.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.