Crystal Palace — Ipswich Town: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 75.9% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 49.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.5% / 42.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.6% / 20.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.2% / 66.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.9% / 83.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Crystal Palace
13th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Fulham 3:2
- 28.08.2026 home Man City 1:4
- 22.08.2026 away Everton 0:2
- 24.05.2026 home Arsenal 1:2
- 17.05.2026 away Brentford 2:2
Ipswich Town
14th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 04.09.2026 home Liverpool 0:2
- 30.08.2026 away Man United 2:5
- 22.08.2026 home Sunderland 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home QPR 3:0
- 28.04.2026 away Southampton 2:2
This season: Crystal Palace at home vs Ipswich Town away
| Metric | Crystal Palace · at home | Ipswich Town · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.66 | 2.01 |
| xG against per match | 2.21 | 4.56 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 08.03.2025 Crystal Palace 1:0 Ipswich Town
- 03.12.2024 Ipswich Town 0:1 Crystal Palace
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Crystal Palace meet Ipswich Town in an EPL contest where the hosts hold a slight edge. The overall assessment points toward Crystal Palace having the stronger position, although the margin is not decisive. The expected character of the game is medium-scoring, suggesting a match with some attacking involvement without necessarily developing into an open contest.
There is no clear call on whether both teams will score, making that aspect finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines reflect that uncertainty: 1:1 keeps the match level, while 2:1 and 1:0 give Crystal Palace narrow victories. Taken together, the outlook supports Crystal Palace avoiding defeat, but Ipswich Town remain sufficiently competitive for a draw to be a realistic possibility. The balance therefore favours the hosts without removing the need for a controlled and measured performance.
What matters before kick-off
Crystal Palace Team News
Ismaila Sarr and Jean-Philippe Mateta remain unavailable for Crystal Palace due to injury. However, midfielder Cheick Doucoure is expected to be included in the matchday squad for the first time since early 2025 following his recovery.
Ipswich Town Availability
Ipswich Town midfielder Jack Taylor remains unavailable as he continues to recover from a knee injury. Meanwhile, Jaden Philogene has returned to full training and could feature in the squad.
Recent Palace Results
Crystal Palace head into the fixture following a busy week in which they secured a 3-2 Premier League victory over Fulham, followed by a 3-0 home win against Middlesbrough in the Carabao Cup on Tuesday.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.