Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
63.0%
Home win
Tottenham Hotspur
X
20.2%
Draw
W2
16.8%
Away win
Crystal Palace
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X83.2%
Both teams to score
Yes65.6%
Totals 2.5
Over71.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 83.2% |
| 12 | 79.8% | |
| X2 | 37.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.6% / 34.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.5% / 3.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.1% / 10.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 71.0% / 29.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 30.7% / 69.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
Goal distribution model
Tottenham Hotspur × Crystal Palace
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.5%
0:1
2.2%
0:2
1.9%
0:3
0.8%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
5.2%
1:1
8.6%
1:2
4.7%
1:3
1.9%
1:4
0.6%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
7.6%
2:1
9.3%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.4%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
6.2%
3:1
7.6%
3:2
4.7%
3:3
1.9%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
3.8%
4:1
4.6%
4:2
2.9%
4:3
1.2%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.8%
5:1
2.3%
5:2
1.4%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:19.3%
1:18.6%
3:17.6%
2:07.6%
3:06.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Tottenham Hotspur
14th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away Chelsea 2:0
- 19.10.2026 home Coventry 3:1
- 10.10.2026 away Man United 1:1
- 19.09.2026 home Aston Villa 2:3
- 12.09.2026 home Everton 0:0
Crystal Palace
17th place · 7 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Newcastle 0:2
- 18.10.2026 away Brighton 0:5
- 11.10.2026 home Nott'm Forest 3:1
- 20.09.2026 away Leeds 0:0
- 12.09.2026 home Ipswich 2:3
This season: Tottenham Hotspur at home vs Crystal Palace away
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur · at home | Crystal Palace · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–2 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.04 | 1.44 |
| xG against per match | 0.96 | 1.89 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 7.25 | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 25% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Tottenham Hotspur wins3
Draws0
Crystal Palace wins3
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 05.03.2026 Tottenham Hotspur 1:3 Crystal Palace
- 28.12.2025 Crystal Palace 0:1 Tottenham Hotspur
- 11.05.2025 Tottenham Hotspur 0:2 Crystal Palace
- 27.10.2024 Crystal Palace 1:0 Tottenham Hotspur
- 02.03.2024 Tottenham Hotspur 3:1 Crystal Palace
- 27.10.2023 Crystal Palace 1:2 Tottenham Hotspur
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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