Brentford — Nottingham Forest: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
47.8%
Home win
Brentford
X
25.4%
Draw
W2
26.7%
Away win
Nottingham Forest
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.6%
Both teams to score
Yes53.1%
Totals 2.5
Over50.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.3% |
| 12 | 74.6% | |
| X2 | 52.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.0% / 7.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.8% / 25.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.0% / 72.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.3% / 86.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.5% / 94.5% |
Goal distribution model
Brentford × Nottingham Forest
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.0%
0:1
7.5%
0:2
4.2%
0:3
1.6%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
10.7%
1:1
12.1%
1:2
6.6%
1:3
2.4%
1:4
0.7%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
8.5%
2:1
9.4%
2:2
5.2%
2:3
1.9%
2:4
0.5%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
4.4%
3:1
4.9%
3:2
2.7%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.7%
4:1
1.9%
4:2
1.1%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.6%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.1%
1:010.7%
2:19.4%
2:08.5%
0:17.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Brentford
6th place · 11 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Hull 1:1
- 17.10.2026 home Liverpool 1:2
- 10.10.2026 away Aston Villa 2:2
- 18.09.2026 home Chelsea 3:0
- 12.09.2026 away Bournemouth 2:2
Nottingham Forest
18th place · 6 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Ipswich 1:1
- 18.10.2026 home Arsenal 0:1
- 11.10.2026 away Crystal Palace 1:3
- 19.09.2026 home Coventry 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Aston Villa 2:1
This season: Brentford at home vs Nottingham Forest away
| Metric | Brentford · at home | Nottingham Forest · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–1 | 1–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| xG for per match | 2.15 | 2.56 |
| xG against per match | 1.19 | 1.36 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.50 | 5.25 |
| Corners per match | 4.50 | 4.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Brentford wins2
Draws1
Nottingham Forest wins3
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 25.01.2026 Brentford 0:2 Nottingham Forest
- 17.08.2025 Nottingham Forest 3:1 Brentford
- 01.05.2025 Nottingham Forest 0:2 Brentford
- 21.12.2024 Brentford 0:2 Nottingham Forest
- 20.01.2024 Brentford 3:2 Nottingham Forest
- 01.10.2023 Nottingham Forest 1:1 Brentford
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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