Hull City — Ipswich Town: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
36.1%
Home win
Hull City
X
28.3%
Draw
W2
35.6%
Away win
Ipswich Town
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1271.7%
Both teams to score
Yes57.1%
Totals 2.5
Over51.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.4% |
| 12 | 71.7% | |
| X2 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.2% / 7.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.7% / 70.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.1% / 93.9% |
Goal distribution model
Hull City × Ipswich Town
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.8%
0:1
7.4%
0:2
6.0%
0:3
2.7%
0:4
0.9%
0:5
0.3%
1
1:0
7.5%
1:1
13.4%
1:2
8.3%
1:3
3.8%
1:4
1.3%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
6.1%
2:1
8.3%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.9%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.8%
3:1
3.8%
3:2
2.6%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.0%
4:1
1.3%
4:2
0.9%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.4%
2:18.3%
1:28.3%
0:07.8%
1:07.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Hull City
10th place · 10 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Brentford 1:1
- 17.10.2026 away Fulham 0:1
- 11.10.2026 home Everton 2:2
- 19.09.2026 away Newcastle 1:2
- 12.09.2026 away Chelsea 2:2
Ipswich Town
12th place · 10 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 home Nott'm Forest 1:1
- 17.10.2026 away Man City 2:3
- 10.10.2026 home Fulham 2:1
- 19.09.2026 away Everton 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Crystal Palace 3:2
This season: Hull City at home vs Ipswich Town away
| Metric | Hull City · at home | Ipswich Town · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–3–0 | 1–0–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 2.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.12 | 1.70 |
| xG against per match | 1.80 | 2.74 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Hull City wins1
Draws1
Ipswich Town wins4
Goals per match2.67
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 03.03.2026 Ipswich Town 1:0 Hull City
- 25.11.2025 Hull City 0:2 Ipswich Town
- 27.04.2024 Hull City 3:3 Ipswich Town
- 03.10.2023 Ipswich Town 3:0 Hull City
- 23.02.2021 Hull City 0:1 Ipswich Town
- 24.11.2020 Ipswich Town 0:3 Hull City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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