Coventry City — Sunderland: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
30.9%
Home win
Coventry City
X
28.6%
Draw
W2
40.5%
Away win
Sunderland
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1271.4%
Both teams to score
Yes55.0%
Totals 2.5
Under50.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.5% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 69.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.6% / 24.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 27.5% / 72.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.0% / 87.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.3% / 94.7% |
Goal distribution model
Coventry City × Sunderland
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.4%
0:1
8.8%
0:2
7.2%
0:3
3.4%
0:4
1.2%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
7.3%
1:1
13.6%
1:2
8.8%
1:3
4.2%
1:4
1.5%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
5.3%
2:1
7.5%
2:2
5.4%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.9%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
2.1%
3:1
3.1%
3:2
2.2%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.7%
4:1
0.9%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.2%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.6%
1:28.8%
0:18.8%
0:08.4%
2:17.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Coventry City
19th place · 6 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Fulham 0:1
- 19.10.2026 away Tottenham 1:3
- 12.10.2026 home Newcastle 4:1
- 19.09.2026 away Nott'm Forest 1:0
- 13.09.2026 home Brighton 0:5
Sunderland
20th place · 5 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Leeds 0:0
- 18.10.2026 away Bournemouth 0:2
- 10.10.2026 home Brighton 0:2
- 20.09.2026 away Man City 3:5
- 12.09.2026 home Arsenal 0:2
This season: Coventry City at home vs Sunderland away
| Metric | Coventry City · at home | Sunderland · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–3 | 0–1–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| xG against per match | 1.48 | 2.51 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.25 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.25 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Coventry City wins3
Draws3
Sunderland wins0
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 15.03.2025 Coventry City 3:0 Sunderland
- 09.11.2024 Sunderland 2:2 Coventry City
- 23.12.2023 Sunderland 0:3 Coventry City
- 26.08.2023 Coventry City 0:0 Sunderland
- 25.02.2023 Coventry City 2:1 Sunderland
- 31.07.2022 Sunderland 1:1 Coventry City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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