Tottenham Hotspur — Coventry City: Win probabilities, 19.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
65.6%
Home win
Tottenham Hotspur
X
21.2%
Draw
W2
13.2%
Away win
Coventry City
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X86.8%
Both teams to score
Yes54.9%
Totals 2.5
Over60.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.8% |
| 12 | 78.8% | |
| X2 | 34.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.3% / 16.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.4% / 61.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.9% / 79.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.9% / 90.1% |
Goal distribution model
Tottenham Hotspur × Coventry City
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.5%
0:1
2.8%
0:2
1.8%
0:3
0.6%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
8.4%
1:1
10.0%
1:2
4.1%
1:3
1.3%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.8%
2:2
4.5%
2:3
1.4%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
7.9%
3:1
7.3%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
4.4%
4:1
4.0%
4:2
1.9%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.9%
5:1
1.8%
5:2
0.8%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.6%
1:110.0%
2:19.8%
1:08.4%
3:07.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 19.10.2026
Tottenham Hotspur
20th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Aston Villa 2:3
- 12.09.2026 home Everton 0:0
- 05.09.2026 away Nott'm Forest 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home Newcastle 0:2
- 22.08.2026 away Brentford 0:3
Coventry City
18th place · 3 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Nott'm Forest 1:0
- 13.09.2026 home Brighton 0:5
- 05.09.2026 away Man City 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Hull 0:1
- 21.08.2026 away Arsenal 0:3
This season: Tottenham Hotspur at home vs Coventry City away
| Metric | Tottenham Hotspur · at home | Coventry City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–2 | 1–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| xG for per match | 1.10 | 0.75 |
| xG against per match | 1.01 | 1.70 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| Corners per match | 8.33 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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