Torino FC — Udinese Calcio: Win probabilities, 12.10.2026
Full time
✓ Prediction hit
Final result
Torino FC2
:
1Udinese Calcio
Locked signal 1X
Probability 69.5%
Verdict Hit
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
36.7%
Home win
Torino FC
X
32.7%
Draw
W2
30.5%
Away win
Udinese Calcio
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X70.6%
Both teams to score
Yes53.2%
Totals 2.5
Under54.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.6% |
| 12 | 67.4% | |
| X2 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 88.9% / 11.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 73.8% / 26.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 45.3% / 54.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 24.0% / 76.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.7% / 89.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.1% / 95.9% |
Goal distribution model
Torino FC × Udinese Calcio
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.1%
0:1
6.8%
0:2
5.5%
0:3
2.1%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
8.3%
1:1
15.6%
1:2
7.4%
1:3
2.8%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.4%
2:1
8.5%
2:2
4.9%
2:3
1.9%
2:4
0.5%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
3.3%
3:1
3.8%
3:2
2.2%
3:3
0.8%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.1%
4:1
1.3%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.3%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.3%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:115.6%
0:011.1%
2:18.5%
1:08.3%
2:07.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.10.2026
Torino FC
14th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Bologna 1:1
- 14.09.2026 home Roma 0:2
- 05.09.2026 away Fiorentina 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Sassuolo 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Milan 1:2
Udinese Calcio
13th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Cagliari 0:1
- 14.09.2026 away Inter 3:5
- 07.09.2026 home Lazio 1:2
- 29.08.2026 away Monza 3:2
- 22.08.2026 home Como 1:1
This season: Torino FC at home vs Udinese Calcio away
| Metric | Torino FC · at home | Udinese Calcio · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.08 | 0.90 |
| xG against per match | 2.03 | 2.38 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Torino FC wins2
Draws2
Udinese Calcio wins2
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 02.05.2026 Udinese Calcio 2:0 Torino FC
- 07.01.2026 Torino FC 1:2 Udinese Calcio
- 23.04.2025 Torino FC 2:0 Udinese Calcio
- 29.12.2024 Udinese Calcio 2:2 Torino FC
- 16.03.2024 Udinese Calcio 0:2 Torino FC
- 23.12.2023 Torino FC 1:1 Udinese Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.38 → now 2.50 |
| X | was 3.10 → now 2.90 |
| W2 | was 3.30 → now 3.20 |
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