Torino FC — AS Roma: Win probabilities, 14.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 35.3% |
| 12 | 79.3% | |
| X2 | 85.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.2% / 18.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.5% / 41.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.1% / 63.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.1% / 80.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.8% / 91.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 14.09.2026
Torino FC
14th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Fiorentina 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Sassuolo 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Milan 1:2
- 24.05.2026 home Juventus 2:2
- 17.05.2026 away Cagliari 1:2
AS Roma
2nd place · 9 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Atalanta 2:1
- 31.08.2026 away Lecce 4:0
- 24.08.2026 home Fiorentina 4:0
- 24.05.2026 away Verona 2:0
- 17.05.2026 home Lazio 2:0
This season: Torino FC at home vs AS Roma away
| Metric | Torino FC · at home | AS Roma · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.29 | 3.26 |
| xG against per match | 2.15 | 0.80 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 18.01.2026 Torino FC 0:2 AS Roma
- 14.09.2025 AS Roma 0:1 Torino FC
- 25.05.2025 Torino FC 0:2 AS Roma
- 31.10.2024 AS Roma 1:0 Torino FC
- 26.02.2024 AS Roma 3:2 Torino FC
- 24.09.2023 Torino FC 1:1 AS Roma
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Torino FC face AS Roma in a Serie A contest where the visitors hold the clearer overall edge. The assessment points toward AS Roma being the stronger side, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the gap should not be treated as decisive. Torino FC will need to remain compact and limit the spaces available to AS Roma, particularly if the visitors are able to control possession and establish pressure in advanced areas.
The match is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams scoring viewed as an evenly balanced possibility. That leaves room for Torino FC to contribute on the scoresheet, even while AS Roma remain the more likely team to impose themselves. The main scoreline indications range from a level 1-1 draw to AS Roma victories by 2-0 or 2-1, reflecting a contest that may stay competitive but still leans toward the away side.
What matters before kick-off
AS Roma's Champions League result
AS Roma enter their Serie A match against Torino FC following a 1-1 away draw against Fenerbahce in the Champions League.
AS Roma's strong Serie A start
AS Roma opened their Serie A campaign with three wins out of three, scoring 10 goals and conceding just once.
AS Roma squad selection
AS Roma's squad list for the match against Torino FC includes midfielders Bryan Cristante, Lorenzo Pellegrini, and Manu Koné, along with forwards Paulo Dybala and Donyell Malen.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.