Sassuolo Calcio — Juventus Turin: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 41.3% |
| 12 | 75.8% | |
| X2 | 82.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.3% / 19.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.7% / 66.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.3% / 82.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
Sassuolo Calcio
11th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Bologna 2:2
- 29.08.2026 home Torino 2:1
- 23.08.2026 away Atalanta 1:2
- 24.05.2026 away Parma 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Lecce 2:3
Juventus Turin
8th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Milan 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Parma 2:0
- 23.08.2026 away Frosinone 1:0
- 24.05.2026 away Torino 2:2
- 17.05.2026 home Fiorentina 0:2
This season: Sassuolo Calcio at home vs Juventus Turin away
| Metric | Sassuolo Calcio · at home | Juventus Turin · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.84 | 2.18 |
| xG against per match | 1.26 | 0.41 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.03.2026 Juventus Turin 1:1 Sassuolo Calcio
- 06.01.2026 Sassuolo Calcio 0:3 Juventus Turin
- 16.01.2024 Juventus Turin 3:0 Sassuolo Calcio
- 23.09.2023 Sassuolo Calcio 4:2 Juventus Turin
- 16.04.2023 Sassuolo Calcio 1:0 Juventus Turin
- 15.08.2022 Juventus Turin 3:0 Sassuolo Calcio
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sassuolo Calcio face Juventus Turin in a Serie A meeting where the visitors hold a slight edge, although the low confidence level points to a relatively open assessment rather than a decisive prediction. Juventus Turin appear better placed in the outcome market, but Sassuolo Calcio remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can turn possession and attacking moments into clear chances.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with both teams scoring considered a coin flip. That leaves several plausible match patterns: a balanced 1:1 draw, or a narrower Juventus Turin victory such as 0:1 or 0:2. The central expectation is therefore for a close game in which Juventus Turin have the stronger overall outlook, but not by enough to dismiss a Sassuolo Calcio response or a shared result.
What matters before kick-off
Juventus head-to-head dominance
Juventus have won 16 matches and scored 56 goals against Sassuolo in Serie A, averaging 2.3 goals per game—their highest rate against any current top-flight opponent.
Juventus unbeaten run
Juventus enter Matchday 4 of the 2026/27 Serie A season undefeated, having secured two victories followed by a 1-1 draw against AC Milan.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.