Sassuolo Calcio — Juventus Turin: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 40.0% |
| 12 | 77.1% | |
| X2 | 82.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.8% / 6.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.3% / 20.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.5% / 44.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.1% / 66.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.9% / 83.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Sassuolo Calcio face Juventus Turin in a Serie A match where the visitors appear clearly stronger, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the assessment should be treated with some caution. Juventus Turin have the more convincing overall outlook, while Sassuolo Calcio remain capable of making the contest competitive, particularly if they can keep the game balanced during the opening phases.
The scoring profile points towards a medium-scoring match rather than an extremely open encounter. There is no firm indication that both teams will find the net, with that possibility remaining finely balanced. A draw is therefore within the range of plausible outcomes, but the main analytical signal favours Juventus Turin. The most consistent scoreline scenarios range from a narrow Juventus Turin success to a more comfortable away win, while a level result also remains a credible alternative.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.