Tallinna FC Flora — Inter Club de Escaldes: Win probabilities, 13.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 77.6% |
| 12 | 74.8% | |
| X2 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.7% / 6.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.7% / 19.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.4% / 65.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Tallinna FC Flora have a slight edge over Inter Club de Escaldes in this UEFA Conference League qualification tie, although the low confidence level points to a closely contested match rather than a clear advantage. The available assessment suggests a medium-scoring game, with enough attacking potential on both sides to create an open contest. There is no strong indication that both teams will score, so that aspect remains finely balanced.
The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 2:0, reflecting the narrow gap between the teams and the modest preference for Tallinna FC Flora. Inter Club de Escaldes should remain competitive if they can limit the hosts' opportunities, while Tallinna FC Flora will look to turn their home advantage into sustained pressure. Overall, the match appears capable of producing several goals, but the outcome remains uncertain and a draw is a realistic possibility.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round on August 6, 2026, Inter Club d'Escaldes secured a 2–0 home victory over FC Flora.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.