Swansea City — Sheffield United: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.6% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.0% / 24.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.6% / 71.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.7% / 86.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.7% / 94.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Swansea City
7th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 away Stoke 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home Charlton 3:1
- 25.04.2026 away Norwich 1:1
- 21.04.2026 away QPR 2:1
- 18.04.2026 home Southampton 1:2
Sheffield United
15th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Birmingham 0:0
- 02.05.2026 away Derby 2:1
- 25.04.2026 home Preston 2:3
- 22.04.2026 home Blackburn 1:3
- 18.04.2026 away Watford 2:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.04.2026 Sheffield United 3:3 Swansea City
- 16.08.2025 Swansea City 1:0 Sheffield United
- 21.01.2025 Swansea City 1:2 Sheffield United
- 02.10.2024 Sheffield United 1:0 Swansea City
- 11.02.2023 Sheffield United 3:0 Swansea City
- 13.09.2022 Swansea City 0:1 Sheffield United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Swansea City and Sheffield United meet in the Championship on 22 August 2026 in a fixture that looks evenly matched. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear overall advantage, with moderate confidence in a balanced contest. That suggests the match may be decided by small tactical details rather than a pronounced difference between the teams.
The expected scoring pattern is medium-scoring, while the possibility of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. The most likely scorelines are 1:1, 2:1, and 1:0, which reflects a game where Swansea City may have a narrow margin for error at home but Sheffield United remain well placed to compete. A cautious result-oriented reading therefore gives some support to the home side avoiding defeat, although the draw is a credible outcome within an otherwise open assessment.
What matters before kick-off
Swansea City team news
Swansea City head coach Vitor Matos made one change to his starting lineup, with Adam Idah starting up front ahead of Žan Vipotnik.
Swansea City injury update
Swansea City remain without Cameron Burgess and Gonçalo Franco due to injuries.
Opening Championship results
In the Championship opening fixture, Swansea City secured a 2-1 comeback victory over Stoke City, while Sheffield United recorded a 0-0 draw.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.