Blackburn Rovers — Middlesbrough FC: Win probabilities, 22.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 51.1% |
| 12 | 73.1% | |
| X2 | 75.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.4% / 7.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 22.08.2026
Blackburn Rovers
10th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 14.08.2026 away Wolves 2:2
- 02.05.2026 home Leicester 0:1
- 22.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:1
- 17.04.2026 home Coventry 1:1
- 14.04.2026 away Southampton 0:3
Middlesbrough FC
5th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 15.08.2026 home Lincoln 2:1
- 02.05.2026 away Wrexham 2:2
- 25.04.2026 home Watford 5:1
- 22.04.2026 home Sheffield Weds 1:0
- 19.04.2026 away Ipswich 2:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.03.2026 Blackburn Rovers 0:0 Middlesbrough FC
- 26.12.2025 Middlesbrough FC 0:0 Blackburn Rovers
- 04.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers 0:2 Middlesbrough FC
- 27.11.2024 Middlesbrough FC 0:1 Blackburn Rovers
- 16.03.2024 Middlesbrough FC 0:0 Blackburn Rovers
- 16.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers 2:1 Middlesbrough FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Blackburn Rovers face Middlesbrough FC in a Championship meeting that is assessed as relatively competitive, but with a slight edge for the visitors. The overall signal points towards Middlesbrough FC avoiding defeat, while the high confidence level indicates that this is a clear analytical lean rather than a completely balanced outlook. That said, the assessment does not suggest a one-sided contest, and Blackburn Rovers remain capable of making the match difficult on home ground.
The expected profile is medium-scoring, with the most prominent scorelines pointing to a match decided by fine margins. A 1:1 draw is among the leading possibilities, alongside narrow Middlesbrough FC wins such as 1:2 or 0:1. Both teams scoring is considered an open question, so the game could develop into an exchange of goals, but a controlled away performance is also consistent with the available indicators. The main conclusion is therefore a cautious preference for Middlesbrough FC, with the draw remaining a credible alternative.
What matters before kick-off
Opening Matchday Results
Blackburn Rovers opened their Championship campaign with a 2-2 draw away at Wolverhampton Wanderers. Meanwhile, Middlesbrough secured a 2-1 home victory against Lincoln City in their league opener thanks to a brace from Will Lankshear.
Low-Scoring Recent Meetings
The last two league meetings between Blackburn Rovers and Middlesbrough both ended in goalless 0-0 draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.