SV 07 Elversberg — FC Augsburg: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
38.5%
Home win
SV 07 Elversberg
X
24.5%
Draw
W2
36.9%
Away win
FC Augsburg
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.5%
Both teams to score
Yes69.1%
Totals 2.5
Over67.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 63.1% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 69.1% / 30.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.3% / 12.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.6% / 32.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
Goal distribution model
SV 07 Elversberg × FC Augsburg
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.2%
0:1
4.2%
0:2
4.6%
0:3
2.6%
0:4
1.1%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
4.3%
1:1
10.4%
1:2
8.0%
1:3
4.6%
1:4
2.0%
1:5
0.7%
2
2:0
4.8%
2:1
8.2%
2:2
7.1%
2:3
4.1%
2:4
1.7%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
2.8%
3:1
4.8%
3:2
4.1%
3:3
2.4%
3:4
1.0%
3:5
0.4%
4
4:0
1.2%
4:1
2.1%
4:2
1.8%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.5%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.7%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.2%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:110.4%
2:18.2%
1:28.0%
2:27.1%
3:14.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
SV 07 Elversberg
7th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Schalke 04 0:0
- 13.09.2026 home Bayern Munich 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away M'gladbach 4:3
- 29.08.2026 home Leverkusen 3:2
- 17.05.2026 home Preußen Münster 3:0
FC Augsburg
4th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Werder Bremen 2:3
- 12.09.2026 home Leverkusen 2:2
- 06.09.2026 away Ein Frankfurt 4:1
- 30.08.2026 home Schalke 04 3:0
- 16.05.2026 away Union Berlin 0:4
This season: SV 07 Elversberg at home vs FC Augsburg away
| Metric | SV 07 Elversberg · at home | FC Augsburg · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| xG against per match | 2.36 | 2.50 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.