Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Cologne: Win probabilities, 16.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
49.4%
Home win
Eintracht Frankfurt
X
23.1%
Draw
W2
27.5%
Away win
1. FC Cologne
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.9%
Both teams to score
Yes72.1%
Totals 2.5
Over72.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 72.5% |
| 12 | 76.9% | |
| X2 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 72.1% / 27.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.4% / 3.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 90.3% / 9.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.7% / 27.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 32.7% / 67.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 18.1% / 81.9% |
Goal distribution model
Eintracht Frankfurt × 1. FC Cologne
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.6%
0:1
2.4%
0:2
3.0%
0:3
1.6%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
3.7%
1:1
9.2%
1:2
6.4%
1:3
3.4%
1:4
1.4%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
5.4%
2:1
8.7%
2:2
7.0%
2:3
3.7%
2:4
1.5%
2:5
0.5%
3
3:0
3.9%
3:1
6.3%
3:2
5.0%
3:3
2.7%
3:4
1.1%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
2.1%
4:1
3.4%
4:2
2.7%
4:3
1.5%
4:4
0.6%
4:5
0.2%
5
5:0
0.9%
5:1
1.5%
5:2
1.2%
5:3
0.6%
5:4
0.3%
5:5
0.1%
Most likely scores
1:19.3%
2:18.7%
2:27.0%
1:26.4%
3:16.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.10.2026
Eintracht Frankfurt
10th place · 5 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Freiburg 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Mainz 3:1
- 06.09.2026 home Augsburg 1:4
- 29.08.2026 away Union Berlin 3:3
- 16.05.2026 home Stuttgart 2:2
1. FC Cologne
13th place · 4 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Hamburg 1:2
- 12.09.2026 home Werder Bremen 1:1
- 04.09.2026 away Stuttgart 1:4
- 29.08.2026 home Hoffenheim 3:2
- 16.05.2026 away Bayern Munich 1:5
This season: Eintracht Frankfurt at home vs 1. FC Cologne away
| Metric | Eintracht Frankfurt · at home | 1. FC Cologne · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.20 | 2.14 |
| xG against per match | 2.11 | 2.46 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Eintracht Frankfurt wins1
Draws3
1. FC Cologne wins2
Goals per match3.33
Both teams scored4/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 05.04.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 1. FC Cologne
- 22.11.2025 1. FC Cologne 3:4 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 03.02.2024 1. FC Cologne 2:0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 03.09.2023 Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 1. FC Cologne
- 12.02.2023 1. FC Cologne 3:0 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 21.08.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 1. FC Cologne
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.