SV 07 Elversberg — Bayern Munich: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 15.7% |
| 12 | 90.7% | |
| X2 | 93.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.4% / 34.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 99.2% / 0.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 86.6% / 13.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 71.9% / 28.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 54.0% / 46.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 36.4% / 63.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
SV 07 Elversberg
4th place · 6 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away M'gladbach 4:3
- 29.08.2026 home Leverkusen 3:2
- 17.05.2026 home Preußen Münster 3:0
- 10.05.2026 away Fortuna Dusseldorf 1:3
- 03.05.2026 home Paderborn 5:1
Bayern Munich
5th place · 4 pts after 2Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Schalke 04 0:0
- 28.08.2026 home Stuttgart 5:1
- 16.05.2026 home FC Koln 5:1
- 09.05.2026 away Wolfsburg 1:0
- 02.05.2026 home Heidenheim 3:3
This season: SV 07 Elversberg at home vs Bayern Munich away
| Metric | SV 07 Elversberg · at home | Bayern Munich · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.27 | 1.94 |
| xG against per match | 1.88 | 0.21 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SV 07 Elversberg face Bayern Munich in a Bundesliga meeting where the visitors hold a clear advantage. The qualitative assessment points to Bayern Munich as the stronger side, with high confidence in an away success. That edge suggests Bayern Munich should control much of the match through their overall quality, while SV 07 Elversberg may need to stay compact and make the most of limited attacking opportunities.
The game is also projected to be high-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That points to an open contest rather than a completely one-sided defensive performance, especially if SV 07 Elversberg can take advantage of transitions or moments when Bayern Munich commit players forward. The most prominent scoreline indications are 0:3, 1:3 and 0:4, all of which reflect Bayern Munich’s attacking superiority while leaving room for different levels of resistance from SV 07 Elversberg.
What matters before kick-off
First competitive meeting
The match between SV Elversberg and Bayern Munich represents the 948th unique fixture pairing in Bundesliga history and the first-ever competitive meeting between the two clubs.
SV Elversberg injury updates
Bundesliga newcomers SV Elversberg will be unable to call upon defender Luis Seifert and winger Tom Zimmerschied due to injury.
Bayern Munich recent results
FC Bayern enter the fixture following a 5-0 win against Norwegian side Bodø/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League, preceded by a goalless draw against Schalke 04 in the Bundesliga.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.