Strasbourg Alsace — Racing Club De Lens: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 47.9% |
| 12 | 75.7% | |
| X2 | 76.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.5% / 36.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.8% / 15.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.2% / 36.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.0% / 59.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.0% / 77.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.2% / 88.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
Strasbourg Alsace
18th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 21.08.2026 away Marseille 0:4
- 17.05.2026 home Monaco 5:4
- 13.05.2026 away Brest 2:1
- 10.05.2026 away Angers 1:1
- 03.05.2026 home Toulouse 1:2
Racing Club De Lens
3rd place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 home Auxerre 5:2
- 17.05.2026 away Lyon 4:0
- 13.05.2026 home Paris SG 0:2
- 08.05.2026 home Nantes 1:0
- 02.05.2026 away Nice 1:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 27.02.2026 Strasbourg Alsace 1:1 Racing Club De Lens
- 22.11.2025 Racing Club De Lens 1:0 Strasbourg Alsace
- 16.02.2025 Racing Club De Lens 0:2 Strasbourg Alsace
- 06.10.2024 Strasbourg Alsace 2:2 Racing Club De Lens
- 10.02.2024 Racing Club De Lens 3:1 Strasbourg Alsace
- 29.09.2023 Strasbourg Alsace 0:1 Racing Club De Lens
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Strasbourg Alsace face Racing Club De Lens in a Ligue 1 contest where the visitors hold a slight but meaningful edge. The available assessment points towards a match in which Racing Club De Lens are more likely to avoid defeat, while a draw remains a credible outcome. That makes the overall outlook closer to an away-or-draw scenario than a clear-cut victory for either side.
The game is also projected to be high-scoring, with both Strasbourg Alsace and Racing Club De Lens likely to find the net. This suggests an open contest rather than a cautious tactical battle, with chances expected at both ends. Strasbourg Alsace will need to manage the attacking threat effectively, while Racing Club De Lens may look to use their stronger position in the assessment to control the key phases of the match. The balance of the indicators favours the visitors, but the likely scoring pattern leaves room for a competitive encounter and does not remove the possibility of the teams sharing the points.
What matters before kick-off
Strasbourg suspension and squad absences
Strasbourg midfielder Samir El Mourabet is suspended for this match following a red card received in their opening fixture against Marseille.
Lens squad absences for Abdulhamid and Edouard
Lens defender Saud Abdulhamid misses out due to injury, while forward Odsonne Edouard was left out of the matchday squad for personal reasons.
Opening Matchday Results
Strasbourg opened their Ligue 1 campaign with a 4-0 away defeat to Marseille, whereas Lens earned a 5-2 victory over Auxerre.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
