AJ Auxerre — Angers SCO: Win probabilities, 29.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.3% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.7% / 8.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.4% / 25.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.6% / 73.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.4% / 87.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.0% / 95.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 29.08.2026
AJ Auxerre
17th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.08.2026 away Lens 2:5
- 17.05.2026 away Lille 2:0
- 10.05.2026 home Nice 2:1
- 03.05.2026 home Angers 3:1
- 25.04.2026 away Lyon 2:3
Angers SCO
16th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.08.2026 home Lille 0:2
- 17.05.2026 away Brest 1:1
- 10.05.2026 home Strasbourg 1:1
- 03.05.2026 away Auxerre 1:3
- 25.04.2026 home Paris SG 0:3
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.05.2026 AJ Auxerre 3:1 Angers SCO
- 09.11.2025 Angers SCO 2:0 AJ Auxerre
- 19.01.2025 Angers SCO 2:0 AJ Auxerre
- 24.11.2024 AJ Auxerre 1:0 Angers SCO
- 10.02.2024 AJ Auxerre 1:0 Angers SCO
- 19.08.2023 Angers SCO 2:2 AJ Auxerre
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
AJ Auxerre have a slight edge over Angers SCO in this Ligue 1 meeting, although the balance remains relatively close. The assessment points toward a home win or draw, giving AJ Auxerre greater protection in the overall outlook without removing the possibility of Angers SCO taking something from the match. The confidence in this reading is high, but the advantage is still described as narrow rather than decisive.
The game is expected to sit in a medium-scoring range. Both teams scoring is viewed as an even possibility, so the match could develop either through a controlled home performance or a more open exchange. The projected scorelines of 1:1, 1:0 and 2:1 reflect that uncertainty: a draw is plausible, while AJ Auxerre's most favourable paths involve keeping the margin tight. Angers SCO should therefore remain competitive, particularly if they can prevent the hosts from turning their slight advantage into sustained pressure.
What matters before kick-off
Auxerre squad updates ahead of Angers clash
Defender Christ Makosso is suspended following his red card in the opening match against Lens. However, Theo Bair and Rémy Labeau-Lascary are available to return to the squad.
Angers squad absences
Midfielders Haris Belkebla and Louis Mouton remain out of Angers' squad to face Auxerre as they continue working their way back to full fitness.
Slow starts for both teams in Ligue 1
Both clubs suffered defeats on matchday one of the Ligue 1 season, with Auxerre falling 5-2 away to Lens and Angers losing 2-0 at home against Lille.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.