Strasbourg Alsace — AJ Auxerre: Win probabilities, 01.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
52.9%
Home win
Strasbourg Alsace
X
23.5%
Draw
W2
23.5%
Away win
AJ Auxerre
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X76.5%
Both teams to score
Yes62.3%
Totals 2.5
Over62.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 76.5% |
| 12 | 76.5% | |
| X2 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.3% / 37.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.9% / 16.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.4% / 37.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.2% / 59.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.3% / 77.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.8% / 89.2% |
Goal distribution model
Strasbourg Alsace × AJ Auxerre
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.8%
0:1
4.2%
0:2
3.2%
0:3
1.3%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
7.0%
1:1
10.7%
1:2
6.2%
1:3
2.6%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.7%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
6.1%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
5.0%
3:1
6.3%
3:2
4.0%
3:3
1.7%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.5%
4:1
3.1%
4:2
1.9%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.0%
5:1
1.2%
5:2
0.8%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.7%
2:19.7%
2:07.7%
1:07.0%
3:16.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.11.2026
Strasbourg Alsace
16th place · 7 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Rennes 0:3
- 17.10.2026 home Paris SG 1:3
- 11.10.2026 away Nice 1:2
- 19.09.2026 away Paris FC 1:2
- 12.09.2026 home Monaco 1:1
AJ Auxerre
12th place · 10 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Le Mans 1:1
- 18.10.2026 away Le Havre 3:1
- 11.10.2026 away Rennes 1:4
- 20.09.2026 home Brest 2:1
- 12.09.2026 home Nice 1:0
This season: Strasbourg Alsace at home vs AJ Auxerre away
| Metric | Strasbourg Alsace · at home | AJ Auxerre · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–1 | 1–0–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 3.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.38 | 1.76 |
| xG against per match | 2.21 | 2.81 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.67 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 2.67 | 5.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Strasbourg Alsace wins4
Draws1
AJ Auxerre wins1
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 07.03.2026 AJ Auxerre 0:0 Strasbourg Alsace
- 29.10.2025 Strasbourg Alsace 3:0 AJ Auxerre
- 02.03.2025 AJ Auxerre 0:1 Strasbourg Alsace
- 05.01.2025 Strasbourg Alsace 3:1 AJ Auxerre
- 19.03.2023 Strasbourg Alsace 2:0 AJ Auxerre
- 27.08.2022 AJ Auxerre 1:0 Strasbourg Alsace
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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