Olympique Lyon — Angers SCO: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
69.1%
Home win
Olympique Lyon
X
17.0%
Draw
W2
13.9%
Away win
Angers SCO
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X86.1%
Both teams to score
Yes54.6%
Totals 2.5
Over63.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.1% |
| 12 | 83.0% | |
| X2 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.6% / 45.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.5% / 16.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.6% / 36.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.5% / 58.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.4% / 76.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
Goal distribution model
Olympique Lyon × Angers SCO
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.3%
0:1
4.0%
0:2
1.7%
0:3
0.5%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.2%
1:1
7.9%
1:2
3.9%
1:3
1.2%
1:4
0.3%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.3%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
4.5%
2:3
1.4%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
8.0%
3:1
7.6%
3:2
3.5%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
4.7%
4:1
4.4%
4:2
2.1%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
2.2%
5:1
2.1%
5:2
1.0%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.3%
2:19.7%
1:09.2%
3:08.0%
1:17.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Olympique Lyon
5th place · 14 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 26.10.2026 away Paris SG 0:2
- 18.10.2026 home Nice 2:1
- 09.10.2026 away Lens 1:2
- 19.09.2026 home Rennes 4:0
- 12.09.2026 away Paris FC 0:0
Angers SCO
14th place · 8 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Lorient 0:0
- 18.10.2026 home Marseille 2:5
- 10.10.2026 away Brest 1:5
- 19.09.2026 home Troyes 2:0
- 12.09.2026 away Le Havre 0:0
This season: Olympique Lyon at home vs Angers SCO away
| Metric | Olympique Lyon · at home | Angers SCO · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 3–1–0 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.29 | 1.24 |
| xG against per match | 1.08 | 2.14 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.25 | 3.33 |
| Corners per match | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Olympique Lyon wins5
Draws1
Angers SCO wins0
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored1/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 05.04.2026 Angers SCO 0:0 Olympique Lyon
- 19.09.2025 Olympique Lyon 1:0 Angers SCO
- 17.05.2025 Olympique Lyon 2:0 Angers SCO
- 07.12.2024 Angers SCO 0:3 Olympique Lyon
- 25.02.2023 Angers SCO 1:3 Olympique Lyon
- 03.09.2022 Olympique Lyon 5:0 Angers SCO
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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