OGC Nice — Stade Rennais FC: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
35.2%
Home win
OGC Nice
X
24.3%
Draw
W2
40.6%
Away win
Stade Rennais FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.7%
Both teams to score
Yes66.3%
Totals 2.5
Over64.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.4% |
| 12 | 75.7% | |
| X2 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.3% / 33.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.2% / 14.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.6% / 35.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.6% / 57.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.2% / 75.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.0% / 88.0% |
Goal distribution model
OGC Nice × Stade Rennais FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.3%
0:1
5.5%
0:2
5.4%
0:3
3.1%
0:4
1.3%
0:5
0.5%
1
1:0
5.0%
1:1
10.6%
1:2
8.6%
1:3
4.9%
1:4
2.1%
1:5
0.7%
2
2:0
4.6%
2:1
7.9%
2:2
6.9%
2:3
3.9%
2:4
1.7%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
2.4%
3:1
4.2%
3:2
3.7%
3:3
2.1%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
1.0%
4:1
1.7%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.6%
1:28.6%
2:17.9%
2:26.9%
0:15.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
OGC Nice
10th place · 11 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Brest 2:1
- 18.10.2026 away Lyon 1:2
- 11.10.2026 home Strasbourg 2:1
- 20.09.2026 home Lille 2:1
- 12.09.2026 away Auxerre 0:1
Stade Rennais FC
2nd place · 16 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Strasbourg 3:0
- 18.10.2026 away Paris FC 3:4
- 11.10.2026 home Auxerre 4:1
- 19.09.2026 away Lyon 0:4
- 11.09.2026 home Marseille 1:0
This season: OGC Nice at home vs Stade Rennais FC away
| Metric | OGC Nice · at home | Stade Rennais FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–0 | 1–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.24 | 2.09 |
| xG against per match | 1.25 | 2.80 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.25 | 5.33 |
| Corners per match | 4.75 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
OGC Nice wins3
Draws0
Stade Rennais FC wins3
Goals per match3.00
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 08.03.2026 OGC Nice 0:4 Stade Rennais FC
- 26.10.2025 Stade Rennais FC 1:2 OGC Nice
- 10.05.2025 Stade Rennais FC 2:0 OGC Nice
- 03.01.2025 OGC Nice 3:2 Stade Rennais FC
- 13.01.2024 Stade Rennais FC 2:0 OGC Nice
- 05.11.2023 OGC Nice 2:0 Stade Rennais FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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