Lille OSC — Racing Club De Lens: Win probabilities, 30.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
40.9%
Home win
Lille OSC
X
25.3%
Draw
W2
33.8%
Away win
Racing Club De Lens
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.7%
Both teams to score
Yes61.9%
Totals 2.5
Over59.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 66.2% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 59.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.9% / 38.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.7% / 18.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 59.0% / 41.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.7% / 63.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.5% / 80.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.0% / 91.0% |
Goal distribution model
Lille OSC × Racing Club De Lens
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.4%
0:1
6.1%
0:2
4.9%
0:3
2.4%
0:4
0.9%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
6.9%
1:1
11.6%
1:2
7.9%
1:3
3.8%
1:4
1.4%
1:5
0.4%
2
2:0
6.1%
2:1
8.8%
2:2
6.4%
2:3
3.1%
2:4
1.1%
2:5
0.3%
3
3:0
3.3%
3:1
4.7%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
1.7%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
1.3%
4:1
1.9%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.6%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.6%
2:18.8%
1:27.9%
1:06.9%
2:26.4%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 30.10.2026
Lille OSC
3rd place · 15 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Monaco 1:1
- 17.10.2026 home Brest 1:1
- 10.10.2026 home Le Havre 1:0
- 20.09.2026 away Nice 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Troyes 2:0
Racing Club De Lens
7th place · 13 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Paris FC 2:1
- 17.10.2026 away Troyes 3:1
- 09.10.2026 home Lyon 2:1
- 18.09.2026 away Monaco 1:2
- 13.09.2026 away Le Mans 2:2
This season: Lille OSC at home vs Racing Club De Lens away
| Metric | Lille OSC · at home | Racing Club De Lens · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–0 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| xG for per match | 1.55 | 1.74 |
| xG against per match | 0.99 | 1.73 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.75 | 6.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Lille OSC wins4
Draws1
Racing Club De Lens wins1
Goals per match2.33
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals3/6
- 04.04.2026 Lille OSC 3:0 Racing Club De Lens
- 20.09.2025 Racing Club De Lens 3:0 Lille OSC
- 30.03.2025 Lille OSC 1:0 Racing Club De Lens
- 26.10.2024 Racing Club De Lens 0:2 Lille OSC
- 29.03.2024 Lille OSC 2:1 Racing Club De Lens
- 08.10.2023 Racing Club De Lens 1:1 Lille OSC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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