Stoke City — Preston North End: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
56.8%
Home win
Stoke City
X
23.5%
Draw
W2
19.7%
Away win
Preston North End
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X80.3%
Both teams to score
Yes52.3%
Totals 2.5
Over52.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.3% |
| 12 | 76.5% | |
| X2 | 43.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.5% / 6.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.5% / 69.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.0% / 85.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
Goal distribution model
Stoke City × Preston North End
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.5%
0:1
5.7%
0:2
2.9%
0:3
0.9%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
10.9%
1:1
11.2%
1:2
5.3%
1:3
1.7%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
2:2
4.8%
2:3
1.6%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
6.1%
3:1
6.0%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
2.8%
4:1
2.7%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.0%
5:1
1.0%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.2%
1:010.9%
2:010.1%
2:19.9%
0:06.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Stoke City
9th place · 20 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Bristol City 0:0
- 17.10.2026 away Derby 1:0
- 13.10.2026 home Middlesbrough 2:3
- 10.10.2026 away Bolton 2:1
- 19.09.2026 home Sheffield United 2:1
Preston North End
24th place · 5 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home West Brom 1:1
- 17.10.2026 away Wrexham 1:4
- 13.10.2026 away Birmingham 0:4
- 10.10.2026 home Millwall 0:1
- 19.09.2026 away QPR 2:2
This season: Stoke City at home vs Preston North End away
| Metric | Stoke City · at home | Preston North End · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| W–D–L | 3–1–2 | 0–1–5 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.87 | 1.19 |
| xG against per match | 1.04 | 1.58 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.17 | 2.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.83 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Stoke City wins1
Draws3
Preston North End wins2
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 20.03.2026 Preston North End 3:1 Stoke City
- 26.12.2025 Stoke City 0:0 Preston North End
- 05.04.2025 Preston North End 1:1 Stoke City
- 26.11.2024 Stoke City 0:0 Preston North End
- 09.03.2024 Preston North End 1:2 Stoke City
- 02.09.2023 Stoke City 0:2 Preston North End
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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