Stade Rennais FC — Olympiacos Piraeus: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
44.8%
Home win
Stade Rennais FC
X
25.8%
Draw
W2
29.4%
Away win
Olympiacos Piraeus
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.2%
Both teams to score
Yes60.2%
Totals 2.5
Over57.2%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.6% |
| 12 | 74.2% | |
| X2 | 55.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.2% / 39.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.7% / 19.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.2% / 42.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.8% / 65.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.1% / 81.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
Goal distribution model
Stade Rennais FC × Olympiacos Piraeus
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.0%
0:1
5.8%
0:2
4.4%
0:3
1.9%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
7.6%
1:1
12.0%
1:2
7.3%
1:3
3.2%
1:4
1.1%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
7.0%
2:1
9.3%
2:2
6.1%
2:3
2.7%
2:4
0.9%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.9%
3:1
5.1%
3:2
3.4%
3:3
1.5%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.6%
4:1
2.1%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.5%
5:1
0.7%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.0%
2:19.3%
1:07.6%
1:27.3%
2:07.0%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Strasbourg 3:0
- 18.10.2026 away Paris FC 3:4
- 11.10.2026 home Auxerre 4:1
- 19.09.2026 away Lyon 0:4
- 11.09.2026 home Marseille 1:0
Olympiacos Piraeus
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home Sparta Prague 1:0
- 15.10.2026 away Olympique Marseille 1:0
- 16.09.2026 home Jagiellonia Bialystok 2:1
- 11.08.2026 away NEC Nijmegen 1:2
- 04.08.2026 home NEC Nijmegen 0:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.