RSC Anderlecht — FC Salzburg: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
50.1%
Home win
RSC Anderlecht
X
24.0%
Draw
W2
25.9%
Away win
FC Salzburg
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1276.0%
Both teams to score
Yes63.6%
Totals 2.5
Over62.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.1% |
| 12 | 76.0% | |
| X2 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.6% / 36.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.3% / 15.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.7% / 59.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.7% / 77.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.0% / 89.0% |
Goal distribution model
RSC Anderlecht × FC Salzburg
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.8%
0:1
4.3%
0:2
3.5%
0:3
1.5%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
6.6%
1:1
10.8%
1:2
6.6%
1:3
2.9%
1:4
1.0%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
7.1%
2:1
9.5%
2:2
6.3%
2:3
2.8%
2:4
0.9%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.5%
3:1
6.0%
3:2
4.0%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
2.9%
4:2
1.9%
4:3
0.9%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
1.1%
5:2
0.7%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.8%
2:19.5%
2:07.1%
1:26.6%
1:06.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 away Gent 0:4
- 10.10.2026 away Cercle Brugge 2:1
- 19.09.2026 home Waregem 3:0
- 11.09.2026 away Mechelen 1:0
- 06.09.2026 home Genk 0:0
FC Salzburg
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 away NK Celje 2:2
- 15.10.2026 home AC Milan 0:4
- 17.09.2026 away PFC Levski Sofia 1:0
- 13.08.2026 away Pafos FC 3:3
- 06.08.2026 home Pafos FC 1:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.