Lillestroem SK — FC Viktoria Plzen: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
33.8%
Home win
Lillestroem SK
X
25.3%
Draw
W2
40.9%
Away win
FC Viktoria Plzen
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1274.7%
Both teams to score
Yes66.0%
Totals 2.5
Over63.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.1% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 66.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.0% / 34.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.0% / 15.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.7% / 36.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.5% / 58.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.4% / 76.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.5% / 88.5% |
Goal distribution model
Lillestroem SK × FC Viktoria Plzen
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.9%
0:1
5.3%
0:2
5.6%
0:3
3.2%
0:4
1.4%
0:5
0.5%
1
1:0
4.7%
1:1
11.2%
1:2
8.7%
1:3
5.0%
1:4
2.2%
1:5
0.7%
2
2:0
4.6%
2:1
7.8%
2:2
6.8%
2:3
3.9%
2:4
1.7%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
2.4%
3:1
4.1%
3:2
3.5%
3:3
2.0%
3:4
0.9%
3:5
0.3%
4
4:0
0.9%
4:1
1.6%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.2%
1:28.7%
2:17.9%
2:26.8%
0:25.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Lillestroem SK
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home Real Sociedad San Sebastian 0:6
- 15.10.2026 away Sparta Prague 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home SCU Torreense 1:2
FC Viktoria Plzen
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home PFC Levski Sofia 1:2
- 15.10.2026 away Ferencvarosi Budapest 1:2
- 17.09.2026 home Union Saint-Gilloise 0:3
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.