PFC Levski Sofia — Jagiellonia Bialystok: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
48.5%
Home win
PFC Levski Sofia
X
25.7%
Draw
W2
25.7%
Away win
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X74.3%
Both teams to score
Yes58.2%
Totals 2.5
Over55.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.3% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.2% / 41.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.6% / 6.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.7% / 20.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.6% / 44.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.3% / 66.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.0% / 83.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.5% / 92.5% |
Goal distribution model
PFC Levski Sofia × Jagiellonia Bialystok
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.4%
0:1
5.6%
0:2
3.9%
0:3
1.6%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
8.4%
1:1
12.1%
1:2
6.7%
1:3
2.7%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
8.0%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.6%
3:1
5.5%
3:2
3.3%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.0%
4:1
2.3%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.7%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.1%
2:19.6%
1:08.4%
2:08.0%
1:26.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
PFC Levski Sofia
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 away FC Viktoria Plzen 2:1
- 15.10.2026 away NEC Nijmegen 1:1
- 17.09.2026 home FC Salzburg 0:1
- 11.08.2026 away FC Kairat Almaty 1:0
- 04.08.2026 home FC Kairat Almaty 1:0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home RSC Anderlecht 0:3
- 15.10.2026 home FC Ararat-Armenia 3:1
- 16.09.2026 away Olympiacos Piraeus 1:2
- 13.08.2026 away Glasgow Rangers 1:1
- 06.08.2026 home Glasgow Rangers 2:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.