NEC Nijmegen — AC Omonia Nicosia: Win probabilities, 05.11.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
55.2%
Home win
NEC Nijmegen
X
22.7%
Draw
W2
22.1%
Away win
AC Omonia Nicosia
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X77.9%
Both teams to score
Yes62.7%
Totals 2.5
Over63.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 77.9% |
| 12 | 77.3% | |
| X2 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.7% / 37.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.5% / 4.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.7% / 15.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.8% / 36.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.7% / 58.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.5% / 76.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.6% / 88.4% |
Goal distribution model
NEC Nijmegen × AC Omonia Nicosia
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.5%
0:1
3.9%
0:2
2.9%
0:3
1.2%
0:4
0.4%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
6.9%
1:1
10.2%
1:2
5.9%
1:3
2.4%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.8%
2:1
9.7%
2:2
6.0%
2:3
2.5%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
5.3%
3:1
6.6%
3:2
4.1%
3:3
1.7%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.7%
4:1
3.4%
4:2
2.1%
4:3
0.9%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.1%
5:1
1.4%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.4%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:110.2%
2:19.7%
2:07.8%
1:06.9%
3:16.6%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.11.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 25.10.2026 home Groningen 2:2
- 18.10.2026 home For Sittard 2:2
- 10.10.2026 away Ajax 1:1
- 20.09.2026 home Go Ahead Eagles 1:1
- 12.09.2026 away Cambuur 0:3
AC Omonia Nicosia
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 22.10.2026 home SL Benfica 1:4
- 15.10.2026 away NK Celje 3:0
- 16.09.2026 home RC Celta de Vigo 1:0
- 13.08.2026 home Lincoln Red Imps 1:0
- 06.08.2026 away Lincoln Red Imps 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Check current terms · 1WIN18+
Bonus up to $500
Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗
Other matches
Tools
Check the numbers before deciding
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.