Stade Rennais FC — OFI Crete: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
78.4%
Home win
Stade Rennais FC
X
14.9%
Draw
W2
6.7%
Away win
OFI Crete
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X93.3%
Both teams to score
No51.5%
Totals 2.5
Over66.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 93.3% |
| 12 | 85.1% | |
| X2 | 21.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 48.5% / 51.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.0% / 4.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.3% / 13.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 66.4% / 33.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 44.6% / 55.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 25.9% / 74.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 13.2% / 86.8% |
Goal distribution model
Stade Rennais FC × OFI Crete
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.0%
0:1
1.6%
0:2
0.8%
0:3
0.2%
0:4
0.0%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
8.1%
1:1
7.1%
1:2
2.3%
1:3
0.5%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
11.9%
2:1
8.6%
2:2
3.1%
2:3
0.7%
2:4
0.1%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
10.8%
3:1
7.7%
3:2
2.8%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
7.3%
4:1
5.2%
4:2
1.9%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
3.9%
5:1
2.8%
5:2
1.0%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:011.9%
3:010.8%
2:18.6%
1:08.1%
3:17.7%
Odds movement
| X | was 5.50 → now 5.75 |
| W2 | was 10.00 → now 12.00 |
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