Ferencvarosi Budapest — FC Viktoria Plzen: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
50.5%
Home win
Ferencvarosi Budapest
X
24.4%
Draw
W2
25.1%
Away win
FC Viktoria Plzen
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1275.6%
Both teams to score
Yes61.6%
Totals 2.5
Over60.6%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.9% |
| 12 | 75.6% | |
| X2 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.6% / 38.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.7% / 5.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.8% / 17.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.6% / 39.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.2% / 61.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.7% / 79.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Goal distribution model
Ferencvarosi Budapest × FC Viktoria Plzen
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.3%
0:1
4.6%
0:2
3.5%
0:3
1.5%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
7.3%
1:1
11.2%
1:2
6.5%
1:3
2.8%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.6%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
6.1%
2:3
2.6%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.7%
3:1
6.0%
3:2
3.8%
3:3
1.6%
3:4
0.5%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.2%
4:1
2.8%
4:2
1.8%
4:3
0.7%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.8%
5:1
1.0%
5:2
0.7%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.2%
2:19.6%
2:07.6%
1:07.3%
1:26.5%
Odds movement
| X | was 3.50 → now 3.80 |
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