GNK Dinamo Zagreb — RSC Anderlecht: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
48.4%
Home win
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
X
26.2%
Draw
W2
25.4%
Away win
RSC Anderlecht
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X74.6%
Both teams to score
Yes58.6%
Totals 2.5
Over55.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.6% |
| 12 | 73.8% | |
| X2 | 51.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.6% / 41.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.1% / 19.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.9% / 44.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.5% / 66.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.6% / 92.4% |
Goal distribution model
GNK Dinamo Zagreb × RSC Anderlecht
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.6%
0:1
5.3%
0:2
3.9%
0:3
1.6%
0:4
0.5%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
8.1%
1:1
12.3%
1:2
6.7%
1:3
2.7%
1:4
0.8%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
8.0%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
4.6%
3:1
5.5%
3:2
3.3%
3:3
1.3%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
2.0%
4:1
2.4%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.2%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.7%
5:1
0.8%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.3%
2:19.6%
1:08.1%
2:08.0%
1:26.7%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Last 4 matches · latest first
- 16.09.2026 away Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC 0:0
- 11.08.2026 away FK Kauno Zalgiris 2:1
- 04.08.2026 home FK Kauno Zalgiris 5:0
- 28.07.2026 home FC Thun 3:2
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Waregem 3:0
- 11.09.2026 away Mechelen 1:0
- 06.09.2026 home Genk 0:0
- 03.09.2026 home Kortrijk 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:3
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.91 → now 2.00 |
| X | was 3.40 → now 3.60 |
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