Stade Brest 29 — Angers SCO: Win probabilities, 10.10.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 77.9% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 47.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.7% / 38.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.8% / 16.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.1% / 38.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.8% / 61.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.2% / 78.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.1% / 89.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 10.10.2026
Stade Brest 29
11th place · 5 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Auxerre 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Paris SG 0:1
- 05.09.2026 away Le Havre 2:1
- 29.08.2026 home Toulouse 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Le Mans 2:2
Angers SCO
7th place · 7 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Troyes 2:0
- 12.09.2026 away Le Havre 0:0
- 06.09.2026 home Rennes 1:2
- 29.08.2026 away Auxerre 3:1
- 23.08.2026 home Lille 0:2
This season: Stade Brest 29 at home vs Angers SCO away
| Metric | Stade Brest 29 · at home | Angers SCO · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.99 | 1.17 |
| xG against per match | 1.14 | 1.30 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 Stade Brest 29 1:1 Angers SCO
- 28.09.2025 Angers SCO 0:2 Stade Brest 29
- 09.03.2025 Stade Brest 29 2:0 Angers SCO
- 05.01.2025 Angers SCO 2:0 Stade Brest 29
- 29.01.2023 Stade Brest 29 4:0 Angers SCO
- 21.08.2022 Angers SCO 1:3 Stade Brest 29
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Stade Brest 29 host Angers SCO in a Ligue 1 fixture where the broader context suggests a slight edge for the hosts, even though the current form lines are far from one-sided. Brest arrive in eleventh place on five points from five matches, with just one win in their last five outings and a modest home ledger of no victories, one draw and one defeat on their own ground. Angers SCO sit higher in seventh on seven points and, more notably, remain unbeaten on the road this season, with one win and one draw from their two away trips.
The head-to-head history tilts the balance back toward the hosts. In six previous meetings, Stade Brest 29 have won four times against a single Angers SCO victory, and the most recent encounter ended 1-1 in 2026. Underlying chance quality at home also favours Brest, who are described as creating clearly more opportunities than they concede, while Angers SCO have been roughly level in that regard on their travels.
Taken together, the picture is of a medium-scoring contest with both teams capable of finding the net. The hosts carry the stronger long-term pattern against this opponent, yet the visitors' away resilience keeps the margin narrow.
What matters before kick-off
Brest's home winless run
Stade Brest 29 enter the match having not won a Ligue 1 home game since March 2026.
Brest's defensive streak
Brest have conceded at least once in each of their last 14 Ligue 1 matches, the longest active streak among current top-flight clubs.
Kamory Doumbia's scoring form
Brest attacking midfielder Kamory Doumbia has scored 4 goals in the opening stretch of the Ligue 1 season.
Angers' away form
Angers heading into matchday 6 remain undefeated away from home in the current Ligue 1 campaign.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.