St. Truidense VV — FC Iberia 1999: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
75.0%
Home win
St. Truidense VV
X
17.1%
Draw
W2
8.0%
Away win
FC Iberia 1999
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X92.0%
Both teams to score
Yes50.2%
Totals 2.5
Over64.3%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.0% |
| 12 | 82.9% | |
| X2 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.3% / 4.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.3% / 35.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.2% / 57.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.0% / 76.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.9% / 88.1% |
Goal distribution model
St. Truidense VV × FC Iberia 1999
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.7%
0:1
1.8%
0:2
1.1%
0:3
0.3%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
8.3%
1:1
8.1%
1:2
2.7%
1:3
0.7%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
11.8%
2:1
9.0%
2:2
3.5%
2:3
0.9%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
10.1%
3:1
7.7%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
0.7%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
6.4%
4:1
4.9%
4:2
1.9%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
3.3%
5:1
2.5%
5:2
1.0%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:011.8%
3:010.1%
2:19.0%
1:08.3%
1:18.1%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Westerlo 0:2
- 12.09.2026 away Beveren 0:2
- 05.09.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 4:0
- 02.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:3
- 30.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:1
FC Iberia 1999
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 11.08.2026 home Larne FC 2:1
- 04.08.2026 away Larne FC 0:0
- 29.07.2026 away SK Slovan Bratislava 1:1
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| X | was 5.25 → now 5.00 |
| W2 | was 7.00 → now 10.00 |
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