SK Brann — Lincoln Red Imps: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
88.6%
Home win
SK Brann
X
8.0%
Draw
W2
3.4%
Away win
Lincoln Red Imps
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X96.6%
Both teams to score
No61.5%
Totals 2.5
Over72.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 96.6% |
| 12 | 92.0% | |
| X2 | 11.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 38.5% / 61.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.8% / 2.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 88.5% / 11.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.0% / 28.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.9% / 68.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.4% / 82.6% |
Goal distribution model
SK Brann × Lincoln Red Imps
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.2%
0:1
1.4%
0:2
0.3%
0:3
0.1%
0:4
0.0%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
7.9%
1:1
3.8%
1:2
1.0%
1:3
0.2%
1:4
0.0%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
12.4%
2:1
6.4%
2:2
1.6%
2:3
0.3%
2:4
0.0%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
13.3%
3:1
6.9%
3:2
1.8%
3:3
0.3%
3:4
0.0%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
10.7%
4:1
5.5%
4:2
1.4%
4:3
0.2%
4:4
0.0%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
6.9%
5:1
3.5%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
3:013.3%
2:012.4%
4:010.7%
1:07.9%
5:06.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
SK Brann
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 11.08.2026 away Apollon Limassol 4:2
- 05.08.2026 home Apollon Limassol 0:1
- 30.07.2026 home FC Universitatea Cluj 3:1
Lincoln Red Imps
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 13.08.2026 away AC Omonia Nicosia 0:1
- 06.08.2026 home AC Omonia Nicosia 1:1
- 28.07.2026 home Mjallby AIF 0:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: oddmind.app. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| X | was 7.50 → now 9.00 |
| W2 | was 15.00 → now 19.00 |
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.