FC Copenhagen — SC Braga: Win probabilities, 15.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
38.8%
Home win
FC Copenhagen
X
28.4%
Draw
W2
32.8%
Away win
SC Braga
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1271.6%
Both teams to score
Yes57.1%
Totals 2.5
Over51.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.2% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.2% / 7.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.4% / 22.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.6% / 70.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.4% / 85.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.1% / 93.9% |
Goal distribution model
FC Copenhagen × SC Braga
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.8%
0:1
7.0%
0:2
5.5%
0:3
2.4%
0:4
0.8%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
7.8%
1:1
13.5%
1:2
7.9%
1:3
3.4%
1:4
1.1%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.6%
2:1
8.7%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.5%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.2%
3:1
4.2%
3:2
2.7%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.1%
4:1
1.5%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.3%
5:1
0.4%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.5%
2:18.7%
1:27.9%
0:07.8%
1:07.8%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.10.2026
FC Copenhagen
Last 3 matches · latest first
- 12.08.2026 home Debreceni VSC 5:1
- 06.08.2026 away Debreceni VSC 3:0
- 29.07.2026 home FC Polissya Zhytomyr 2:1
Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Santa Clara 0:0
- 14.09.2026 home Estoril 1:0
- 10.09.2026 away Estrela 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away Alverca 2:1
- 31.08.2026 home Guimaraes 1:0
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 2.25 → now 2.45 |
| W2 | was 3.00 → now 2.88 |
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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.