St Mirren FC — St. Johnstone FC: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.2% |
| 12 | 73.8% | |
| X2 | 55.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.3% / 7.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.5% / 27.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.6% / 74.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
St Mirren FC
1st place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.08.2026 away Falkirk 2:0
- 17.05.2026 home Dundee United 1:1
- 12.05.2026 away Aberdeen 2:0
- 09.05.2026 home Kilmarnock 0:3
- 02.05.2026 away Dundee 0:1
St. Johnstone FC
2nd place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.08.2026 home Kilmarnock 4:3
- 01.05.2026 away Ayr 1:0
- 24.04.2026 home Raith Rvs 2:0
- 21.04.2026 away Dunfermline 2:0
- 11.04.2026 home Airdrie Utd 4:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 01.02.2025 St Mirren FC 0:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 14.12.2024 St. Johnstone FC 2:3 St Mirren FC
- 30.10.2024 St Mirren FC 3:1 St. Johnstone FC
- 24.02.2024 St Mirren FC 2:0 St. Johnstone FC
- 06.12.2023 St. Johnstone FC 1:0 St Mirren FC
- 28.10.2023 St Mirren FC 4:0 St. Johnstone FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
St Mirren FC have a slight edge over St. Johnstone FC in this Premiership meeting, although the moderate confidence level points to a contest with limited separation between the sides. The home advantage gives St Mirren FC the more favourable starting position, but the assessment does not suggest a one-sided match.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with enough attacking potential for the game to develop beyond a cautious stalemate. Whether both teams find the net remains finely balanced, so neither side has a clearly defined advantage in that area. St. Johnstone FC should remain competitive, particularly if they can keep the match close and make the most of their opportunities. Overall, the clearest angle is support for St Mirren FC or the draw, with a narrow home victory and an even result both consistent with the available indicators.
What matters before kick-off
St Mirren's first home league match of the season
St Mirren host St Johnstone on matchday two of the 2026/27 Scottish Premiership at The Marbill Coaches Stadium.
Winning starts for both sides on opening day
St Mirren opened their league campaign with a 2-0 win against Falkirk, while promoted St Johnstone defeated Kilmarnock 4-3.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.