Dundee FC — Aberdeen FC: Win probabilities, 08.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.2% |
| 12 | 73.6% | |
| X2 | 62.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.4% / 6.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.1% / 46.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.8% / 69.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 08.08.2026
Dundee FC
11th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.08.2026 away Celtic 0:1
- 17.05.2026 home Aberdeen 3:2
- 12.05.2026 away Kilmarnock 1:3
- 09.05.2026 home Livingston 3:0
- 02.05.2026 home St Mirren 1:0
Aberdeen FC
3rd place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 01.08.2026 home Hearts 2:1
- 17.05.2026 away Dundee 2:3
- 12.05.2026 home St Mirren 0:2
- 09.05.2026 home Dundee United 2:0
- 01.05.2026 away Livingston 2:2
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 Dundee FC 3:2 Aberdeen FC
- 21.02.2026 Aberdeen FC 2:3 Dundee FC
- 06.12.2025 Dundee FC 1:3 Aberdeen FC
- 05.10.2025 Aberdeen FC 4:0 Dundee FC
- 15.02.2025 Dundee FC 1:2 Aberdeen FC
- 09.11.2024 Aberdeen FC 4:1 Dundee FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Dundee FC and Aberdeen FC meet in the Premiership in what looks like an evenly matched contest. The available assessment gives Dundee FC a slight protection through the home win-or-draw signal, but the moderate confidence level means the balance remains finely poised rather than pointing clearly toward one side. Neither team has a decisive analytical advantage in the information provided.
The match is projected to have a medium-scoring profile, with both teams scoring considered an uncertain possibility. The most plausible score patterns remain close: 1:1, 2:1, or 1:2. That range reflects a game where small differences in execution could shape the outcome, while a draw is also a credible scenario. Overall, Dundee FC may have a narrow positional edge at home, but Aberdeen FC remain well placed to make this competitive through the final stages.
What matters before kick-off
Dundee's season opener result
Dundee opened their Scottish Premiership campaign with a narrow 1-0 away defeat against reigning champions Celtic.
Aberdeen's winning start
Aberdeen kicked off their league season with a dramatic 2-1 home victory over Hearts, scoring twice late in the match through Lewis Mayo and Kevin Nisbet.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.